R Joyce
Over 407 matches (Aug 2007 – May 2026), R Joyce drew 114 where the draw model expected 111.3 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 108.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · League One | 163 | 44 | 27.0% |
| ENG · League Two | 150 | 35 | 23.3% |
| ENG · National League | 91 | 34 | 37.4% |
| ENG · Championship | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% |
| 2024/25 | 27 | 4 | 14.8% |
| 2023/24 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% |
| 2022/23 | 26 | 11 | 42.3% |
| 2021/22 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% |
| 2020/21 | 24 | 5 | 20.8% |
| 2019/20 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% |
| 2018/19 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% |
| 2017/18 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% |
| 2016/17 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% |
| 2015/16 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% |
| 2014/15 | 17 | 9 | 52.9% |
| 2013/14 | 22 | 9 | 40.9% |
| 2011/12 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% |
| 2010/11 | 9 | 6 | 66.7% |
| 2009/10 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% |
| 2008/09 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% |
| 2007/08 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May 2026 | Notts County | 1–1 | Bristol Rovers | D | ENG · League Two |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Huddersfield Town | 1–4 | Mansfield Town | A | ENG · League One |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Halifax Town | 2–6 | Southend United | A | ENG · National League |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Lincoln City | 2–1 | Leyton Orient | H | ENG · League One |
| 07 Apr 2026 | Port Vale | 1–0 | Rotherham United | H | ENG · League One |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Walsall | 2–1 | Newport County | H | ENG · League Two |
| 17 Mar 2026 | Chesterfield | 0–3 | Oldham Athletic | A | ENG · League Two |
| 07 Mar 2026 | Barnsley | 2–1 | Exeter City | H | ENG · League One |
| 03 Mar 2026 | Grimsby Town | 3–1 | Salford City | H | ENG · League Two |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Barrow | 0–1 | Gillingham | A | ENG · League Two |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Accrington Stanley | 0–2 | Shrewsbury Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 17 Feb 2026 | Bradford City | 1–0 | Stockport County | H | ENG · League One |
| 07 Feb 2026 | Huddersfield Town | 2–2 | Blackpool | D | ENG · League One |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Fleetwood Town | 1–2 | Notts County | A | ENG · League Two |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Scunthorpe United | 3–2 | Forest Green Rovers | H | ENG · National League |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Gateshead | 0–2 | Rochdale | A | ENG · National League |
| 01 Jan 2026 | Mansfield Town | 3–0 | Bradford City | H | ENG · League One |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Grimsby Town | 0–0 | Oldham Athletic | D | ENG · League Two |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Tranmere Rovers | 1–4 | Crewe Alexandra | A | ENG · League Two |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Wigan Athletic | 0–0 | Stevenage | D | ENG · League One |
| 15 Nov 2025 | Milton Keynes Dons | 2–0 | Salford City | H | ENG · League Two |
| 04 Nov 2025 | Rotherham United | 2–2 | Burton Albion | D | ENG · League One |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Notts County | 2–0 | Cambridge United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Luton Town | 0–2 | Mansfield Town | A | ENG · League One |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Wycombe Wanderers | 2–2 | Barnsley | D | ENG · League One |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Accrington Stanley | 1–3 | Walsall | A | ENG · League Two |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Harrogate Town | 2–0 | Shrewsbury Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Forest Green Rovers | 1–1 | Scunthorpe United | D | ENG · National League |
| 06 Sep 2025 | Port Vale | 2–3 | Leyton Orient | A | ENG · League One |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Wigan Athletic | 1–1 | Stockport County | D | ENG · League One |
| 09 Aug 2025 | Bolton Wanderers | 2–0 | Plymouth Argyle | H | ENG · League One |
| 02 Aug 2025 | Doncaster Rovers | 1–0 | Exeter City | H | ENG · League One |
| 03 May 2025 | Grimsby Town | 0–1 | AFC Wimbledon | A | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Doncaster Rovers | 2–1 | Bradford City | H | ENG · League Two |
| 21 Apr 2025 | Mansfield Town | 1–5 | Reading | A | ENG · League One |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Chesterfield | 3–0 | Fleetwood Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 08 Apr 2025 | Bolton Wanderers | 0–1 | Rotherham United | A | ENG · League One |
| 28 Mar 2025 | Tranmere Rovers | 2–0 | Cheltenham Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Northampton Town | 1–1 | Birmingham City | D | ENG · League One |
| 11 Mar 2025 | Accrington Stanley | 5–0 | Newport County | H | ENG · League Two |
| 04 Mar 2025 | Blackpool | 0–0 | Peterborough United | D | ENG · League One |
| 25 Feb 2025 | Wigan Athletic | 2–1 | Huddersfield Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 08 Feb 2025 | Barrow | 3–0 | Gillingham | H | ENG · League Two |
| 01 Feb 2025 | Carlisle United | 1–5 | Swindon Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 28 Jan 2025 | Rotherham United | 2–1 | Cambridge United | H | ENG · League One |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Barnsley | 0–1 | Stevenage | A | ENG · League One |
| 17 Jan 2025 | Harrogate Town | 2–0 | Cheltenham Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 04 Jan 2025 | Burton Albion | 0–1 | Northampton Town | A | ENG · League One |
| 29 Dec 2024 | Bolton Wanderers | 3–0 | Lincoln City | H | ENG · League One |
| 21 Dec 2024 | York City | 3–0 | Southend United | H | ENG · National League |