▦ FDB4
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Match official

Peter Walton

2000–2012 · 4 competitions
Also recorded as: P Walton, P. Walton, Walton, P.
Matches 375
Draws 111
Draw % 29.6% +5.3 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 375 matches (Aug 2000 – Mar 2012), Peter Walton drew 111 where the draw model expected 99.7 from those particular fixtures — about 11 more, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 99.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Premier League 169 50 29.6%
ENG · Championship 104 35 33.7%
ENG · League One 56 14 25.0%
ENG · League Two 46 12 26.1%
By season 12 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2011/12 20 5 25.0%
2010/11 33 14 42.4%
2009/10 30 10 33.3%
2008/09 37 9 24.3%
2007/08 36 12 33.3%
2006/07 36 10 27.8%
2005/06 37 12 32.4%
2004/05 26 10 38.5%
2003/04 29 10 34.5%
2002/03 31 6 19.4%
2001/02 30 4 13.3%
2000/01 30 9 30.0%
Latest matches last 50

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