▦ FDB4
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Match official

M Woods

2018–2026 · 3 competitions
Matches 172
Draws 54
Draw % 31.4% +7.1 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 172 matches (Aug 2018 – Oct 2026), M Woods drew 54 where the draw model expected 47.4 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 45.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · National League 68 21 30.9%
ENG · League Two 54 21 38.9%
ENG · League One 50 12 24.0%
By season 9 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 7 1 14.3%
2025/26 30 9 30.0%
2024/25 26 8 30.8%
2023/24 24 6 25.0%
2022/23 23 11 47.8%
2021/22 14 4 28.6%
2020/21 16 5 31.3%
2019/20 14 3 21.4%
2018/19 18 7 38.9%
Latest matches last 50

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