▦ FDB4
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Match official

M Heywood

2008–2018 · 4 competitions
Matches 181
Draws 43
Draw % 23.8% -0.6 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 181 matches (Aug 2008 – Sep 2018), M Heywood drew 43 where the draw model expected 50.4 from those particular fixtures — about 7 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 48.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League One 72 16 22.2%
ENG · League Two 69 16 23.2%
ENG · National League 21 7 33.3%
ENG · Championship 19 4 21.1%
By season 10 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2018/19 6 1 16.7%
2017/18 25 5 20.0%
2016/17 30 7 23.3%
2015/16 24 7 29.2%
2014/15 25 6 24.0%
2013/14 24 6 25.0%
2011/12 25 4 16.0%
2010/11 11 3 27.3%
2009/10 5 1 20.0%
2008/09 6 3 50.0%
Latest matches last 50

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