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M Donohue

2017–2026 · 5 competitions
Matches 258
Draws 62
Draw % 24.0% -0.3 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 5
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 258 matches (Aug 2017 – Oct 2026), M Donohue drew 62 where the draw model expected 71.4 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 70.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 5 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Championship 191 49 25.7%
ENG · League Two 25 6 24.0%
ENG · National League 19 3 15.8%
ENG · League One 18 4 22.2%
ENG · Premier League 5 0 0.0%
By season 10 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 6 3 50.0%
2025/26 28 9 32.1%
2024/25 24 6 25.0%
2023/24 34 9 26.5%
2022/23 32 6 18.8%
2021/22 31 10 32.3%
2020/21 28 5 17.9%
2019/20 26 6 23.1%
2018/19 30 5 16.7%
2017/18 19 3 15.8%
Latest matches last 50

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