Kevin Friend
Over 532 matches (Aug 2003 – May 2022), Kevin Friend drew 140 where the draw model expected 137.4 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 140.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · Premier League | 272 | 64 | 23.5% |
| ENG · Championship | 133 | 39 | 29.3% |
| ENG · League One | 67 | 22 | 32.8% |
| ENG · League Two | 60 | 15 | 25.0% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021/22 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% |
| 2020/21 | 28 | 4 | 14.3% |
| 2019/20 | 28 | 7 | 25.0% |
| 2018/19 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% |
| 2017/18 | 25 | 5 | 20.0% |
| 2016/17 | 26 | 8 | 30.8% |
| 2015/16 | 28 | 5 | 17.9% |
| 2014/15 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% |
| 2013/14 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% |
| 2012/13 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% |
| 2011/12 | 29 | 7 | 24.1% |
| 2010/11 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% |
| 2009/10 | 29 | 7 | 24.1% |
| 2008/09 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% |
| 2007/08 | 34 | 14 | 41.2% |
| 2006/07 | 28 | 5 | 17.9% |
| 2005/06 | 20 | 9 | 45.0% |
| 2004/05 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% |
| 2003/04 | 25 | 9 | 36.0% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May 2022 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 3–1 | West Ham United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 15 May 2022 | Tottenham Hotspur | 1–0 | Burnley | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 May 2022 | Everton | 1–0 | Chelsea | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 23 Apr 2022 | Manchester City | 5–1 | Watford | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 18 Apr 2022 | Reading | 4–4 | Swansea City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 09 Apr 2022 | Southampton | 0–6 | Chelsea | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 18 Mar 2022 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2–3 | Leeds United | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 15 Mar 2022 | West Bromwich Albion | 1–0 | Fulham | H | ENG · Championship |
| 10 Mar 2022 | Southampton | 1–2 | Newcastle United | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 26 Feb 2022 | Manchester United | 0–0 | Watford | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 19 Feb 2022 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 0–3 | Burnley | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 13 Feb 2022 | Tottenham Hotspur | 0–2 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 09 Feb 2022 | Cardiff City | 4–0 | Peterborough United | H | ENG · Championship |
| 01 Feb 2022 | Millwall | 0–0 | Preston North End | D | ENG · Championship |
| 23 Jan 2022 | Crystal Palace | 1–3 | Liverpool | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 18 Jan 2022 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 1–1 | Chelsea | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 26 Dec 2021 | West Ham United | 2–3 | Southampton | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 30 Nov 2021 | Leeds United | 1–0 | Crystal Palace | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 07 Nov 2021 | Arsenal | 1–0 | Watford | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 23 Oct 2021 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 1–4 | Manchester City | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 16 Oct 2021 | Nottingham Forest | 2–1 | Blackpool | H | ENG · Championship |
| 09 Oct 2021 | Wycombe Wanderers | 2–0 | Gillingham | H | ENG · League One |
| 02 Oct 2021 | Burnley | 0–0 | Norwich City | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 25 Sep 2021 | Leeds United | 1–2 | West Ham United | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 14 Sep 2021 | West Bromwich Albion | 0–0 | Derby County | D | ENG · Championship |
| 23 May 2021 | Sheffield United | 1–0 | Burnley | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 14 May 2021 | Newcastle United | 3–4 | Manchester City | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 08 May 2021 | Liverpool | 2–0 | Southampton | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 May 2021 | Chelsea | 2–0 | Fulham | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 24 Apr 2021 | Sheffield United | 1–0 | Brighton & Hove Albion | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 17 Apr 2021 | Newcastle United | 3–2 | West Ham United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 05 Apr 2021 | Everton | 1–1 | Crystal Palace | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 13 Mar 2021 | Leeds United | 0–0 | Chelsea | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 07 Mar 2021 | Liverpool | 0–1 | Fulham | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 28 Feb 2021 | Tottenham Hotspur | 4–0 | Burnley | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 22 Feb 2021 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 1–2 | Crystal Palace | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 16 Feb 2021 | Wycombe Wanderers | 1–2 | Derby County | A | ENG · Championship |
| 07 Feb 2021 | Sheffield United | 1–2 | Chelsea | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 03 Feb 2021 | Liverpool | 0–1 | Brighton & Hove Albion | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 26 Jan 2021 | Southampton | 1–3 | Arsenal | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 16 Jan 2021 | Leeds United | 0–1 | Brighton & Hove Albion | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 12 Jan 2021 | Burnley | 0–1 | Manchester United | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Jan 2021 | Everton | 0–1 | West Ham United | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 27 Dec 2020 | Liverpool | 1–1 | West Bromwich Albion | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 13 Dec 2020 | Crystal Palace | 1–1 | Tottenham Hotspur | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 05 Dec 2020 | Chelsea | 3–1 | Leeds United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Dec 2020 | Cardiff City | 3–0 | Huddersfield Town | H | ENG · Championship |
| 23 Nov 2020 | Burnley | 1–0 | Crystal Palace | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 31 Oct 2020 | Liverpool | 2–1 | West Ham United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 25 Oct 2020 | Southampton | 2–0 | Everton | H | ENG · Premier League |