Jj Gillett
Over 166 matches (Apr 2019 – Oct 2026), Jj Gillett drew 40 where the draw model expected 43.4 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 43.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · Premier League | 90 | 19 | 21.1% |
| ENG · Championship | 71 | 19 | 26.8% |
| ENG · League One | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |
| ENG · League Two | 2 | 1 | 50.0% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| 2025/26 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% |
| 2024/25 | 20 | 2 | 10.0% |
| 2023/24 | 23 | 3 | 13.0% |
| 2022/23 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% |
| 2021/22 | 17 | 3 | 17.6% |
| 2020/21 | 28 | 7 | 25.0% |
| 2019/20 | 26 | 8 | 30.8% |
| 2018/19 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | Newcastle United | 0–1 | Aston Villa | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Nottingham Forest | 0–1 | Coventry City | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Bournemouth | 2–2 | Brentford | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Aston Villa | 0–1 | Arsenal | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Manchester City | 2–1 | Bournemouth | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 17 May 2026 | Newcastle United | 3–1 | West Ham United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 11 May 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur | 1–1 | Leeds United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 02 May 2026 | Arsenal | 3–0 | Fulham | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 19 Apr 2026 | Ipswich Town | 2–2 | Middlesbrough | D | ENG · Championship |
| 10 Apr 2026 | West Ham United | 4–0 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Leeds United | 0–0 | Brentford | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 04 Mar 2026 | Aston Villa | 1–4 | Chelsea | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Bournemouth | 1–1 | Sunderland | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Brentford | 0–2 | Brighton & Hove Albion | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 07 Feb 2026 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1–3 | Chelsea | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Newcastle United | 0–2 | Aston Villa | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur | 1–2 | West Ham United | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 04 Jan 2026 | Leeds United | 1–1 | Manchester United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Jan 2026 | Sunderland | 0–0 | Manchester City | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Crystal Palace | 0–1 | Tottenham Hotspur | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 09 Nov 2025 | Nottingham Forest | 3–1 | Leeds United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Nov 2025 | Tottenham Hotspur | 0–1 | Chelsea | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Crystal Palace | 3–3 | Bournemouth | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 05 Oct 2025 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1–1 | Brighton & Hove Albion | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Newcastle United | 1–2 | Arsenal | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 13 Sep 2025 | West Ham United | 0–3 | Tottenham Hotspur | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Arsenal | 5–0 | Leeds United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 0–4 | Manchester City | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 18 May 2025 | Brentford | 2–3 | Fulham | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 11 May 2025 | Manchester United | 0–2 | West Ham United | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 03 May 2025 | Arsenal | 1–2 | Bournemouth | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 25 Apr 2025 | Stoke City | 0–2 | Sheffield United | A | ENG · Championship |
| 19 Apr 2025 | Aston Villa | 4–1 | Newcastle United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Manchester City | 5–2 | Crystal Palace | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Apr 2025 | Nottingham Forest | 1–0 | Manchester United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Brentford | 0–1 | Aston Villa | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 26 Feb 2025 | Tottenham Hotspur | 0–1 | Manchester City | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 23 Feb 2025 | Newcastle United | 4–3 | Nottingham Forest | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Southampton | 1–3 | Bournemouth | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 02 Feb 2025 | Brentford | 0–2 | Tottenham Hotspur | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 25 Jan 2025 | West Bromwich Albion | 5–1 | Portsmouth | H | ENG · Championship |
| 04 Jan 2025 | Aston Villa | 2–1 | Leicester City | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Jan 2025 | Luton Town | 0–1 | Norwich City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Derby County | 2–1 | West Bromwich Albion | H | ENG · Championship |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Newcastle United | 1–1 | Manchester City | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 15 Sep 2024 | Tottenham Hotspur | 0–1 | Arsenal | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Sep 2024 | Chelsea | 1–1 | Crystal Palace | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 17 Aug 2024 | Arsenal | 2–0 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 11 May 2024 | Tottenham Hotspur | 2–1 | Burnley | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 06 May 2024 | Crystal Palace | 4–0 | Manchester United | H | ENG · Premier League |