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Match official

J Moss

2005–2022 · 4 competitions
Matches 511
Draws 105
Draw % 20.5% -3.8 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 511 matches (Aug 2005 – May 2022), J Moss drew 105 where the draw model expected 132.0 from those particular fixtures — about 27 fewer, or 2.7 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 7 times running. A flat league average would have expected 134.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Premier League 274 52 19.0%
ENG · Championship 90 25 27.8%
ENG · League Two 81 15 18.5%
ENG · League One 66 13 19.7%
By season 17 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2021/22 26 3 11.5%
2020/21 26 5 19.2%
2019/20 26 6 23.1%
2018/19 30 5 16.7%
2017/18 33 10 30.3%
2016/17 32 6 18.8%
2015/16 28 6 21.4%
2014/15 31 8 25.8%
2013/14 29 6 20.7%
2012/13 23 3 13.0%
2011/12 30 9 30.0%
2010/11 35 6 17.1%
2009/10 37 6 16.2%
2008/09 34 7 20.6%
2007/08 33 10 30.3%
2006/07 31 5 16.1%
2005/06 27 4 14.8%
Latest matches last 50

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