Match official

Gr Horwood

2005–2018 · 4 competitions
Also recorded as: G Horwood
Matches 234
Draws 74
Draw % 31.6% +7.3 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4

Over 234 matches (Aug 2005 – Apr 2018), Gr Horwood drew 74 where the draw model expected 64.8 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 63.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League Two 99 30 30.3%
ENG · League One 84 26 31.0%
ENG · National League 31 8 25.8%
ENG · Championship 20 10 50.0%
By season 12 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2017/18 22 7 31.8%
2016/17 26 7 26.9%
2015/16 11 3 27.3%
2014/15 25 12 48.0%
2013/14 24 6 25.0%
2011/12 9 6 66.7%
2010/11 23 7 30.4%
2009/10 24 9 37.5%
2008/09 30 10 33.3%
2007/08 20 5 25.0%
2006/07 13 1 7.7%
2005/06 7 1 14.3%
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