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Match official

Gavin Ward

2005–2026 · 4 competitions
Also recorded as: G Ward
Matches 564
Draws 140
Draw % 24.8% +0.5 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 564 matches (Aug 2005 – Oct 2026), Gavin Ward drew 140 where the draw model expected 155.0 from those particular fixtures — about 15 fewer, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 153.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Championship 258 60 23.3%
ENG · League Two 141 37 26.2%
ENG · League One 138 31 22.5%
ENG · National League 27 12 44.4%
By season 21 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 6 1 16.7%
2025/26 25 4 16.0%
2024/25 26 6 23.1%
2023/24 26 4 15.4%
2022/23 33 8 24.2%
2021/22 36 10 27.8%
2020/21 31 5 16.1%
2019/20 29 5 17.2%
2018/19 31 10 32.3%
2017/18 32 5 15.6%
2016/17 35 11 31.4%
2015/16 30 6 20.0%
2014/15 30 7 23.3%
2013/14 26 6 23.1%
2011/12 31 12 38.7%
2010/11 31 5 16.1%
2009/10 27 6 22.2%
2008/09 29 9 31.0%
2007/08 24 9 37.5%
2006/07 14 6 42.9%
2005/06 12 5 41.7%
Latest matches last 50

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