D Webb
Over 522 matches (Aug 2007 – Oct 2026), D Webb drew 138 where the draw model expected 144.1 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 142.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · Championship | 290 | 78 | 26.9% |
| ENG · League One | 112 | 29 | 25.9% |
| ENG · League Two | 106 | 27 | 25.5% |
| ENG · National League | 12 | 4 | 33.3% |
| ENG · Premier League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| 2025/26 | 27 | 9 | 33.3% |
| 2024/25 | 29 | 7 | 24.1% |
| 2023/24 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% |
| 2022/23 | 36 | 14 | 38.9% |
| 2021/22 | 33 | 3 | 9.1% |
| 2020/21 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% |
| 2019/20 | 27 | 10 | 37.0% |
| 2018/19 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% |
| 2017/18 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% |
| 2016/17 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% |
| 2015/16 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% |
| 2014/15 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% |
| 2013/14 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% |
| 2011/12 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% |
| 2010/11 | 26 | 9 | 34.6% |
| 2009/10 | 26 | 8 | 30.8% |
| 2008/09 | 21 | 3 | 14.3% |
| 2007/08 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | York City | 2–0 | Port Vale | H | ENG · League Two |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Bristol City | 0–1 | Blackburn Rovers | A | ENG · Championship |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Birmingham City | 2–2 | Middlesbrough | D | ENG · Championship |
| 08 Sep 2026 | Bolton Wanderers | 2–3 | West Ham United | A | ENG · Championship |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Derby County | 0–3 | Swansea City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Doncaster Rovers | 0–0 | Barnsley | D | ENG · League One |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Stoke City | 1–3 | Portsmouth | A | ENG · Championship |
| 22 Apr 2026 | Middlesbrough | 1–0 | Sheffield Wednesday | H | ENG · Championship |
| 12 Apr 2026 | Birmingham City | 2–0 | Wrexham | H | ENG · Championship |
| 06 Apr 2026 | Hull City | 0–0 | Coventry City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 11 Mar 2026 | Oxford United | 1–0 | Blackburn Rovers | H | ENG · Championship |
| 07 Mar 2026 | Hull City | 1–3 | Millwall | A | ENG · Championship |
| 24 Feb 2026 | Swansea City | 1–1 | Preston North End | D | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Watford | 2–0 | Derby County | H | ENG · Championship |
| 07 Feb 2026 | West Bromwich Albion | 0–0 | Stoke City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday | 0–1 | Wrexham | A | ENG · Championship |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Notts County | 2–1 | Swindon Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Barrow | 0–1 | Crawley Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 04 Jan 2026 | Blackburn Rovers | 2–2 | Charlton Athletic | D | ENG · Championship |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Millwall | 2–1 | Bristol City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Ipswich Town | 3–1 | Sheffield Wednesday | H | ENG · Championship |
| 06 Dec 2025 | Southampton | 3–1 | Birmingham City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Coventry City | 3–1 | Charlton Athletic | H | ENG · Championship |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Sheffield Wednesday | 0–3 | Sheffield United | A | ENG · Championship |
| 04 Nov 2025 | Ipswich Town | 1–1 | Watford | D | ENG · Championship |
| 01 Nov 2025 | Charlton Athletic | 1–1 | Swansea City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Oct 2025 | Blackburn Rovers | 1–3 | Sheffield United | A | ENG · Championship |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Swansea City | 1–3 | Leicester City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 30 Sep 2025 | Middlesbrough | 0–0 | Stoke City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Norwich City | 2–3 | Wrexham | A | ENG · Championship |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Swansea City | 2–2 | Hull City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 22 Aug 2025 | Derby County | 1–1 | Bristol City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 09 Aug 2025 | West Bromwich Albion | 1–0 | Blackburn Rovers | H | ENG · Championship |
| 20 May 2025 | Crystal Palace | 4–2 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 03 May 2025 | Leicester City | 2–0 | Southampton | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 21 Apr 2025 | Burnley | 2–1 | Sheffield United | H | ENG · Championship |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Luton Town | 0–1 | Blackburn Rovers | A | ENG · Championship |
| 08 Apr 2025 | Preston North End | 2–2 | Cardiff City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Norwich City | 1–0 | West Bromwich Albion | H | ENG · Championship |
| 11 Mar 2025 | Middlesbrough | 2–1 | Queens Park Rangers | H | ENG · Championship |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Coventry City | 3–2 | Stoke City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 24 Feb 2025 | Sheffield United | 1–3 | Leeds United | A | ENG · Championship |
| 14 Feb 2025 | Queens Park Rangers | 4–0 | Derby County | H | ENG · Championship |
| 12 Feb 2025 | West Bromwich Albion | 0–2 | Blackburn Rovers | A | ENG · Championship |
| 01 Feb 2025 | Portsmouth | 0–0 | Burnley | D | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Jan 2025 | Millwall | 2–2 | Cardiff City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 19 Jan 2025 | Leeds United | 3–0 | Sheffield Wednesday | H | ENG · Championship |
| 04 Jan 2025 | Watford | 1–2 | Sheffield United | A | ENG · Championship |
| 29 Dec 2024 | Oxford United | 2–0 | Plymouth Argyle | H | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Millwall | 1–0 | Blackburn Rovers | H | ENG · Championship |