D Rock
Over 303 matches (Aug 2014 – Oct 2026), D Rock drew 86 where the draw model expected 81.7 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 80.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · National League | 110 | 31 | 28.2% |
| ENG · League One | 101 | 26 | 25.7% |
| ENG · League Two | 92 | 29 | 31.5% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% |
| 2025/26 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% |
| 2024/25 | 27 | 8 | 29.6% |
| 2023/24 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% |
| 2022/23 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% |
| 2021/22 | 26 | 8 | 30.8% |
| 2020/21 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% |
| 2019/20 | 21 | 7 | 33.3% |
| 2018/19 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% |
| 2017/18 | 27 | 12 | 44.4% |
| 2016/17 | 24 | 9 | 37.5% |
| 2015/16 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% |
| 2014/15 | 21 | 4 | 19.0% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | Huddersfield Town | 2–1 | Wigan Athletic | H | ENG · League One |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Barnsley | 1–2 | Cambridge United | A | ENG · League One |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Cheltenham Town | 0–2 | Salford City | A | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Sep 2026 | Rotherham United | 1–1 | Crewe Alexandra | D | ENG · League Two |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Boreham Wood | 4–1 | Harrogate Town | H | ENG · National League |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Reading | 3–1 | Blackpool | H | ENG · League One |
| 01 Sep 2026 | Wycombe Wanderers | 1–2 | Sheffield Wednesday | A | ENG · League One |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Plymouth Argyle | 1–3 | Stockport County | A | ENG · League One |
| 02 May 2026 | Gillingham | 1–0 | Shrewsbury Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Newport County | 3–2 | Oldham Athletic | H | ENG · League Two |
| 22 Apr 2026 | Cardiff City | 1–0 | Port Vale | H | ENG · League One |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Grimsby Town | 3–2 | Crewe Alexandra | H | ENG · League Two |
| 06 Apr 2026 | Stevenage | 1–0 | Blackpool | H | ENG · League One |
| 03 Apr 2026 | Barnet | 2–2 | Bromley | D | ENG · League Two |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Barnsley | 0–1 | Doncaster Rovers | A | ENG · League One |
| 17 Mar 2026 | Bristol Rovers | 1–0 | Shrewsbury Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 10 Mar 2026 | Fleetwood Town | 2–2 | Cheltenham Town | D | ENG · League Two |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Northampton Town | 1–1 | Peterborough United | D | ENG · League One |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Mansfield Town | 0–2 | Lincoln City | A | ENG · League One |
| 17 Feb 2026 | Salford City | 1–3 | Newport County | A | ENG · League Two |
| 07 Feb 2026 | Swindon Town | 3–0 | Oldham Athletic | H | ENG · League Two |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Leyton Orient | 0–1 | Port Vale | A | ENG · League One |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Doncaster Rovers | 3–3 | Wigan Athletic | D | ENG · League One |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Bradford City | 1–2 | Cardiff City | A | ENG · League One |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Stockport County | 1–0 | Huddersfield Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 26 Dec 2025 | AFC Wimbledon | 0–0 | Stevenage | D | ENG · League One |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Plymouth Argyle | 1–0 | Rotherham United | H | ENG · League One |
| 09 Dec 2025 | Bromley | 3–1 | Crawley Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Crewe Alexandra | 3–3 | Chesterfield | D | ENG · League Two |
| 15 Nov 2025 | Lincoln City | 2–1 | Doncaster Rovers | H | ENG · League One |
| 08 Nov 2025 | Harrogate Town | 0–1 | Oldham Athletic | A | ENG · League Two |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Gillingham | 1–2 | Salford City | A | ENG · League Two |
| 21 Oct 2025 | Swindon Town | 2–2 | Notts County | D | ENG · League Two |
| 11 Oct 2025 | Accrington Stanley | 0–1 | Newport County | A | ENG · League Two |
| 30 Sep 2025 | Sutton United | 1–2 | Yeovil Town | A | ENG · National League |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Exeter City | 0–1 | Huddersfield Town | A | ENG · League One |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Rotherham United | 0–1 | Stockport County | A | ENG · League One |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Leyton Orient | 1–1 | Bolton Wanderers | D | ENG · League One |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Plymouth Argyle | 1–0 | Blackpool | H | ENG · League One |
| 19 Aug 2025 | AFC Wimbledon | 0–1 | Cardiff City | A | ENG · League One |
| 09 Aug 2025 | Barnsley | 3–2 | Burton Albion | H | ENG · League One |
| 02 Aug 2025 | Colchester United | 1–1 | Tranmere Rovers | D | ENG · League Two |
| 18 Apr 2025 | Rotherham United | 3–3 | Mansfield Town | D | ENG · League One |
| 08 Apr 2025 | Exeter City | 1–1 | Wigan Athletic | D | ENG · League One |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Harrogate Town | 1–1 | Gillingham | D | ENG · League Two |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Notts County | 1–2 | Chesterfield | A | ENG · League Two |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Birmingham City | 1–0 | Lincoln City | H | ENG · League One |
| 01 Mar 2025 | Tranmere Rovers | 1–1 | Port Vale | D | ENG · League Two |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Crewe Alexandra | 3–0 | Barrow | H | ENG · League Two |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Barnsley | 1–2 | Huddersfield Town | A | ENG · League One |