D England
Over 316 matches (Aug 2013 – Oct 2026), D England drew 87 where the draw model expected 83.7 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 83.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · Championship | 106 | 35 | 33.0% |
| ENG · Premier League | 104 | 28 | 26.9% |
| ENG · League Two | 37 | 8 | 21.6% |
| ENG · League One | 35 | 11 | 31.4% |
| ENG · National League | 34 | 5 | 14.7% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| 2025/26 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% |
| 2024/25 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% |
| 2023/24 | 22 | 8 | 36.4% |
| 2022/23 | 24 | 7 | 29.2% |
| 2021/22 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% |
| 2020/21 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% |
| 2019/20 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% |
| 2018/19 | 26 | 11 | 42.3% |
| 2017/18 | 34 | 14 | 41.2% |
| 2016/17 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% |
| 2015/16 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% |
| 2014/15 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% |
| 2013/14 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | Leeds United | 1–1 | Manchester United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 3–0 | Arsenal | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur | 0–0 | Everton | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 04 Sep 2026 | Ipswich Town | 0–2 | Liverpool | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Hull City | 2–0 | Manchester United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 24 May 2026 | Liverpool | 1–1 | Brentford | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 03 May 2026 | Manchester United | 3–2 | Liverpool | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 24 Apr 2026 | Sunderland | 0–5 | Nottingham Forest | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 20 Apr 2026 | Crystal Palace | 0–0 | West Ham United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 2–1 | Liverpool | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 04 Mar 2026 | Manchester City | 2–2 | Nottingham Forest | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Mar 2026 | Arsenal | 2–1 | Chelsea | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 23 Feb 2026 | Everton | 0–1 | Manchester United | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 07 Feb 2026 | Burnley | 0–2 | West Ham United | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Crystal Palace | 1–3 | Chelsea | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 07 Jan 2026 | Bournemouth | 3–2 | Tottenham Hotspur | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Arsenal | 4–1 | Aston Villa | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 0–0 | Sunderland | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Crystal Palace | 0–3 | Manchester City | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 03 Dec 2025 | Leeds United | 3–1 | Chelsea | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 30 Nov 2025 | West Ham United | 0–2 | Liverpool | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Fulham | 1–0 | Sunderland | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Nov 2025 | Nottingham Forest | 2–2 | Manchester United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 05 Oct 2025 | Brentford | 0–1 | Manchester City | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Liverpool | 2–1 | Everton | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Arsenal | 3–0 | Nottingham Forest | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 2–1 | Manchester City | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 17 Aug 2025 | Chelsea | 0–0 | Crystal Palace | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 25 May 2025 | Liverpool | 1–1 | Crystal Palace | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 May 2025 | Nottingham Forest | 0–2 | Brentford | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 3–2 | West Ham United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 16 Apr 2025 | Newcastle United | 5–0 | Crystal Palace | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 05 Apr 2025 | Everton | 1–1 | Arsenal | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 02 Apr 2025 | Manchester City | 2–0 | Leicester City | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 26 Feb 2025 | Manchester United | 3–2 | Ipswich Town | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 15 Feb 2025 | West Ham United | 0–1 | Brentford | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Feb 2025 | Bournemouth | 0–2 | Liverpool | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 19 Jan 2025 | Everton | 3–2 | Tottenham Hotspur | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 15 Jan 2025 | Newcastle United | 3–0 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 27 Dec 2024 | Arsenal | 1–0 | Ipswich Town | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 15 Dec 2024 | Southampton | 0–5 | Tottenham Hotspur | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 07 Dec 2024 | Manchester United | 2–3 | Nottingham Forest | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 30 Nov 2024 | Crystal Palace | 1–1 | Newcastle United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 10 Nov 2024 | Tottenham Hotspur | 1–2 | Ipswich Town | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Watford | 1–0 | Blackburn Rovers | H | ENG · Championship |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Fulham | 1–3 | Aston Villa | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Leicester City | 1–1 | Everton | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 25 Aug 2024 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2–6 | Chelsea | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 11 May 2024 | Newcastle United | 1–1 | Brighton & Hove Albion | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 27 Apr 2024 | Everton | 1–0 | Brentford | H | ENG · Premier League |