D Bourne
Over 173 matches (Aug 2018 – Oct 2026), D Bourne drew 47 where the draw model expected 47.9 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 46.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · League Two | 74 | 21 | 28.4% |
| ENG · League One | 54 | 17 | 31.5% |
| ENG · National League | 45 | 9 | 20.0% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| 2025/26 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% |
| 2024/25 | 24 | 7 | 29.2% |
| 2023/24 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% |
| 2022/23 | 24 | 8 | 33.3% |
| 2021/22 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% |
| 2020/21 | 27 | 9 | 33.3% |
| 2019/20 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% |
| 2018/19 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | Rochdale | 2–2 | Grimsby Town | D | ENG · League Two |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Gateshead | 1–1 | Solihull Moors | D | ENG · National League |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Colchester United | 1–0 | Rochdale | H | ENG · League Two |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Rotherham United | 1–1 | York City | D | ENG · League Two |
| 08 Aug 2026 | Hornchurch | 3–0 | Kidderminster Harriers | H | ENG · National League |
| 14 Apr 2026 | Wealdstone | 1–1 | Boston United | D | ENG · National League |
| 06 Apr 2026 | Fleetwood Town | 2–5 | Barnet | A | ENG · League Two |
| 03 Apr 2026 | Rochdale | 2–4 | Morecambe | A | ENG · National League |
| 28 Mar 2026 | Halifax Town | 1–2 | Scunthorpe United | A | ENG · National League |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Sutton United | 0–3 | Truro City | A | ENG · National League |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Stevenage | 1–0 | AFC Wimbledon | H | ENG · League One |
| 07 Mar 2026 | Woking | 3–1 | Tamworth | H | ENG · National League |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Cambridge United | 1–1 | Milton Keynes Dons | D | ENG · League Two |
| 25 Feb 2026 | Hartlepool United | 3–1 | Carlisle United | H | ENG · National League |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Wealdstone | 0–3 | York City | A | ENG · National League |
| 07 Feb 2026 | Newport County | 0–0 | Grimsby Town | D | ENG · League Two |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Port Vale | 1–3 | Exeter City | A | ENG · League One |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Braintree Town | 0–3 | Boreham Wood | A | ENG · National League |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Bristol Rovers | 0–2 | Barnet | A | ENG · League Two |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Harrogate Town | 0–4 | Milton Keynes Dons | A | ENG · League Two |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Cambridge United | 2–1 | Bromley | H | ENG · League Two |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Newport County | 0–1 | Swindon Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Hartlepool United | 1–1 | Tamworth | D | ENG · National League |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Crewe Alexandra | 1–2 | Barnet | A | ENG · League Two |
| 06 Sep 2025 | Scunthorpe United | 2–1 | Wealdstone | H | ENG · National League |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Tranmere Rovers | 1–1 | Gillingham | D | ENG · League Two |
| 02 Aug 2025 | Plymouth Argyle | 1–3 | Barnsley | A | ENG · League One |
| 03 May 2025 | Swindon Town | 0–0 | Milton Keynes Dons | D | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Apr 2025 | AFC Wimbledon | 0–2 | Port Vale | A | ENG · League Two |
| 18 Apr 2025 | Bromley | 1–0 | Morecambe | H | ENG · League Two |
| 10 Apr 2025 | Crewe Alexandra | 2–3 | Cheltenham Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Charlton Athletic | 4–0 | Huddersfield Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 22 Mar 2025 | Lincoln City | 0–0 | Exeter City | D | ENG · League One |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Shrewsbury Town | 0–2 | Burton Albion | A | ENG · League One |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Barrow | 2–0 | Accrington Stanley | H | ENG · League Two |
| 01 Mar 2025 | Wrexham | 0–0 | Bolton Wanderers | D | ENG · League One |
| 25 Feb 2025 | Northampton Town | 1–2 | Barnsley | A | ENG · League One |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Southend United | 1–1 | Rochdale | D | ENG · National League |
| 08 Feb 2025 | Swindon Town | 3–3 | Port Vale | D | ENG · League Two |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Stockport County | 2–0 | Crawley Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 01 Jan 2025 | Doncaster Rovers | 2–1 | Fleetwood Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Shrewsbury Town | 1–0 | Lincoln City | H | ENG · League One |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Cambridge United | 1–0 | Burton Albion | H | ENG · League One |
| 22 Oct 2024 | Peterborough United | 5–1 | Blackpool | H | ENG · League One |
| 12 Oct 2024 | Harrogate Town | 1–0 | Newport County | H | ENG · League Two |
| 05 Oct 2024 | Bolton Wanderers | 2–2 | Shrewsbury Town | D | ENG · League One |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Barnsley | 1–1 | Stockport County | D | ENG · League One |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Salford City | 0–2 | Walsall | A | ENG · League Two |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Reading | 0–1 | Leyton Orient | A | ENG · League One |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Morecambe | 0–1 | Newport County | A | ENG · League Two |