C Pollard
Over 103 matches (Aug 2017 – Jan 2024), C Pollard drew 34 where the draw model expected 28.6 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 27.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · League Two | 41 | 15 | 36.6% |
| ENG · League One | 36 | 7 | 19.4% |
| ENG · National League | 26 | 12 | 46.2% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023/24 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% |
| 2022/23 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% |
| 2021/22 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% |
| 2020/21 | 22 | 4 | 18.2% |
| 2019/20 | 16 | 8 | 50.0% |
| 2018/19 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% |
| 2017/18 | 9 | 6 | 66.7% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan 2024 | Forest Green Rovers | 0–2 | Harrogate Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 25 Nov 2023 | Fleetwood Town | 0–3 | Stevenage | A | ENG · League One |
| 28 Oct 2023 | Stockport County | 2–0 | Tranmere Rovers | H | ENG · League Two |
| 21 Oct 2023 | Burton Albion | 4–1 | Bristol Rovers | H | ENG · League One |
| 07 Oct 2023 | Bradford City | 1–0 | Swindon Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 03 Oct 2023 | Walsall | 0–0 | Milton Keynes Dons | D | ENG · League Two |
| 23 Sep 2023 | Cambridge United | 1–1 | Port Vale | D | ENG · League One |
| 05 Aug 2023 | Shrewsbury Town | 1–0 | Cheltenham Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 18 Feb 2023 | Bristol Rovers | 1–2 | Burton Albion | A | ENG · League One |
| 14 Feb 2023 | Forest Green Rovers | 0–1 | Charlton Athletic | A | ENG · League One |
| 04 Feb 2023 | Stockport County | 3–2 | Tranmere Rovers | H | ENG · League Two |
| 07 Jan 2023 | Crewe Alexandra | 0–0 | AFC Wimbledon | D | ENG · League Two |
| 02 Jan 2023 | Northampton Town | 1–0 | Leyton Orient | H | ENG · League Two |
| 19 Nov 2022 | Cambridge United | 0–1 | Accrington Stanley | A | ENG · League One |
| 12 Nov 2022 | Shrewsbury Town | 0–1 | Barnsley | A | ENG · League One |
| 29 Oct 2022 | Doncaster Rovers | 1–0 | Gillingham | H | ENG · League Two |
| 25 Oct 2022 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 1–1 | Boreham Wood | D | ENG · National League |
| 22 Oct 2022 | Bristol Rovers | 2–2 | Plymouth Argyle | D | ENG · League One |
| 01 Oct 2022 | Port Vale | 0–1 | Sheffield Wednesday | A | ENG · League One |
| 13 Sep 2022 | Milton Keynes Dons | 0–2 | Bolton Wanderers | A | ENG · League One |
| 16 Aug 2022 | Portsmouth | 4–1 | Cambridge United | H | ENG · League One |
| 06 Aug 2022 | Charlton Athletic | 1–0 | Derby County | H | ENG · League One |
| 30 Jul 2022 | Leyton Orient | 2–0 | Grimsby Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 30 Apr 2022 | Forest Green Rovers | 1–3 | Harrogate Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Mar 2022 | Shrewsbury Town | 1–0 | Lincoln City | H | ENG · League One |
| 22 Mar 2022 | Plymouth Argyle | 2–0 | Cheltenham Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 26 Feb 2022 | Crawley Town | 2–1 | Forest Green Rovers | H | ENG · League Two |
| 22 Feb 2022 | Swindon Town | 5–0 | Walsall | H | ENG · League Two |
| 15 Feb 2022 | Bristol Rovers | 2–0 | Sutton United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 05 Feb 2022 | Charlton Athletic | 3–2 | AFC Wimbledon | H | ENG · League One |
| 01 Feb 2022 | Harrogate Town | 0–0 | Mansfield Town | D | ENG · League Two |
| 15 Jan 2022 | Sheffield Wednesday | 4–2 | Plymouth Argyle | H | ENG · League One |
| 08 Jan 2022 | Tranmere Rovers | 4–0 | Scunthorpe United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 18 Dec 2021 | Morecambe | 0–0 | Fleetwood Town | D | ENG · League One |
| 11 Dec 2021 | Doncaster Rovers | 1–0 | Shrewsbury Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 07 Dec 2021 | Cheltenham Town | 0–5 | Cambridge United | A | ENG · League One |
| 26 Nov 2021 | Colchester United | 1–1 | Newport County | D | ENG · League Two |
| 30 Oct 2021 | Gillingham | 0–0 | Accrington Stanley | D | ENG · League One |
| 19 Oct 2021 | Leyton Orient | 1–1 | Forest Green Rovers | D | ENG · League Two |
| 09 Oct 2021 | Stevenage | 2–2 | Exeter City | D | ENG · League Two |
| 20 Apr 2021 | Leyton Orient | 2–4 | Cambridge United | A | ENG · League Two |
| 09 Apr 2021 | Mansfield Town | 1–1 | Newport County | D | ENG · League Two |
| 02 Apr 2021 | Crewe Alexandra | 1–2 | Hull City | A | ENG · League One |
| 23 Mar 2021 | Northampton Town | 1–0 | Oxford United | H | ENG · League One |
| 13 Mar 2021 | Forest Green Rovers | 2–1 | Harrogate Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 06 Mar 2021 | Tranmere Rovers | 0–1 | Crawley Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 27 Feb 2021 | Scunthorpe United | 0–2 | Cheltenham Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 23 Feb 2021 | Charlton Athletic | 1–2 | Burton Albion | A | ENG · League One |
| 09 Feb 2021 | Portsmouth | 2–0 | Swindon Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 30 Jan 2021 | Harrogate Town | 2–1 | Newport County | H | ENG · League Two |