Match official

C Pollard

2017–2024 · 3 competitions
Matches 103
Draws 34
Draw % 33.0% +8.7 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3

Over 103 matches (Aug 2017 – Jan 2024), C Pollard drew 34 where the draw model expected 28.6 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 27.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League Two 41 15 36.6%
ENG · League One 36 7 19.4%
ENG · National League 26 12 46.2%
By season 7 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2023/24 8 2 25.0%
2022/23 15 3 20.0%
2021/22 17 6 35.3%
2020/21 22 4 18.2%
2019/20 16 8 50.0%
2018/19 16 5 31.3%
2017/18 9 6 66.7%
Latest matches last 50