Andre Marriner
Over 539 matches (Aug 2003 – May 2023), Andre Marriner drew 135 where the draw model expected 137.9 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 140.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · Premier League | 392 | 98 | 25.0% |
| ENG · Championship | 71 | 22 | 31.0% |
| ENG · League One | 40 | 7 | 17.5% |
| ENG · League Two | 36 | 8 | 22.2% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022/23 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% |
| 2021/22 | 22 | 4 | 18.2% |
| 2020/21 | 27 | 8 | 29.6% |
| 2019/20 | 25 | 8 | 32.0% |
| 2018/19 | 28 | 7 | 25.0% |
| 2017/18 | 28 | 4 | 14.3% |
| 2016/17 | 29 | 6 | 20.7% |
| 2015/16 | 28 | 9 | 32.1% |
| 2014/15 | 27 | 4 | 14.8% |
| 2013/14 | 27 | 5 | 18.5% |
| 2012/13 | 24 | 9 | 37.5% |
| 2011/12 | 25 | 5 | 20.0% |
| 2010/11 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% |
| 2009/10 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% |
| 2008/09 | 28 | 7 | 25.0% |
| 2007/08 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% |
| 2006/07 | 29 | 9 | 31.0% |
| 2005/06 | 25 | 10 | 40.0% |
| 2004/05 | 29 | 4 | 13.8% |
| 2003/04 | 24 | 4 | 16.7% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May 2023 | Arsenal | 5–0 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 22 May 2023 | Newcastle United | 0–0 | Leicester City | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 04 May 2023 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 1–0 | Manchester United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 27 Apr 2023 | Everton | 1–4 | Newcastle United | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 07 Apr 2023 | Blackburn Rovers | 0–2 | Norwich City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 01 Apr 2023 | Preston North End | 3–1 | Blackpool | H | ENG · Championship |
| 11 Mar 2023 | Leicester City | 1–3 | Chelsea | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 15 Feb 2023 | Sheffield United | 1–3 | Middlesbrough | A | ENG · Championship |
| 04 Feb 2023 | Manchester United | 2–1 | Crystal Palace | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 03 Jan 2023 | Everton | 1–4 | Brighton & Hove Albion | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 31 Dec 2022 | Bournemouth | 0–2 | Crystal Palace | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 05 Nov 2022 | Nottingham Forest | 2–2 | Brentford | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 29 Oct 2022 | Bristol City | 1–1 | Swansea City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 01 Oct 2022 | Southampton | 1–2 | Everton | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 31 Aug 2022 | Liverpool | 2–1 | Newcastle United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 20 Aug 2022 | Everton | 1–1 | Nottingham Forest | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 14 Aug 2022 | Middlesbrough | 2–2 | Sheffield United | D | ENG · Championship |
| 06 Aug 2022 | Tottenham Hotspur | 4–1 | Southampton | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 22 May 2022 | Arsenal | 5–1 | Everton | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 07 May 2022 | Bournemouth | 1–0 | Millwall | H | ENG · Championship |
| 30 Apr 2022 | Newcastle United | 0–1 | Liverpool | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 09 Apr 2022 | Watford | 0–3 | Leeds United | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 02 Apr 2022 | Manchester United | 1–1 | Leicester City | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 16 Mar 2022 | Arsenal | 0–2 | Liverpool | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 05 Mar 2022 | Burnley | 0–4 | Chelsea | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 23 Feb 2022 | Watford | 1–4 | Crystal Palace | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 12 Feb 2022 | Norwich City | 0–4 | Manchester City | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 08 Feb 2022 | Coventry City | 1–1 | Blackpool | D | ENG · Championship |
| 29 Jan 2022 | Barnsley | 0–1 | Bournemouth | A | ENG · Championship |
| 19 Jan 2022 | Brentford | 1–3 | Manchester United | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 18 Dec 2021 | Leeds United | 1–4 | Arsenal | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 04 Dec 2021 | West Ham United | 3–2 | Chelsea | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 27 Nov 2021 | Liverpool | 4–0 | Southampton | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 21 Nov 2021 | Tottenham Hotspur | 2–1 | Leeds United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 06 Nov 2021 | Chelsea | 1–1 | Burnley | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 30 Oct 2021 | Manchester City | 0–2 | Crystal Palace | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 17 Oct 2021 | Newcastle United | 2–3 | Tottenham Hotspur | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 27 Sep 2021 | Crystal Palace | 1–1 | Brighton & Hove Albion | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 29 Aug 2021 | Tottenham Hotspur | 1–0 | Watford | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 14 Aug 2021 | Norwich City | 0–3 | Liverpool | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 15 May 2021 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 1–1 | West Ham United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 12 May 2021 | Chelsea | 0–1 | Arsenal | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 02 May 2021 | Tottenham Hotspur | 4–0 | Sheffield United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 24 Apr 2021 | Liverpool | 1–1 | Newcastle United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 10 Apr 2021 | Manchester City | 1–2 | Leeds United | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 04 Apr 2021 | Southampton | 3–2 | Burnley | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 13 Mar 2021 | Fulham | 0–3 | Manchester City | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 06 Mar 2021 | Burnley | 1–1 | Arsenal | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 03 Mar 2021 | Crystal Palace | 0–0 | Manchester United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 23 Feb 2021 | Leeds United | 3–0 | Southampton | H | ENG · Premier League |