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A Madley

2009–2026 · 5 competitions
Matches 418
Draws 92
Draw % 22.0% -2.3 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 5
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 418 matches (Aug 2009 – Oct 2026), A Madley drew 92 where the draw model expected 111.0 from those particular fixtures — about 19 fewer, or 2.1 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 111.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 5 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Championship 168 30 17.9%
ENG · Premier League 137 32 23.4%
ENG · League One 52 16 30.8%
ENG · League Two 40 6 15.0%
ENG · National League 21 8 38.1%
By season 17 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 6 0 0.0%
2025/26 24 4 16.7%
2024/25 22 7 31.8%
2023/24 25 4 16.0%
2022/23 27 7 25.9%
2021/22 20 3 15.0%
2020/21 23 6 26.1%
2019/20 19 5 26.3%
2018/19 35 8 22.9%
2017/18 37 6 16.2%
2016/17 34 4 11.8%
2015/16 33 8 24.2%
2014/15 31 7 22.6%
2013/14 33 8 24.2%
2011/12 27 7 25.9%
2010/11 14 5 35.7%
2009/10 8 3 37.5%
Latest matches last 50

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