A Haines
Over 428 matches (Aug 2005 – May 2023), A Haines drew 133 where the draw model expected 119.6 from those particular fixtures — about 13 more, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 116.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · League Two | 192 | 62 | 32.3% |
| ENG · League One | 171 | 50 | 29.2% |
| ENG · Championship | 48 | 17 | 35.4% |
| ENG · National League | 17 | 4 | 23.5% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022/23 | 25 | 8 | 32.0% |
| 2021/22 | 28 | 9 | 32.1% |
| 2020/21 | 25 | 13 | 52.0% |
| 2019/20 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% |
| 2018/19 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% |
| 2017/18 | 28 | 10 | 35.7% |
| 2016/17 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% |
| 2015/16 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% |
| 2014/15 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% |
| 2013/14 | 30 | 11 | 36.7% |
| 2011/12 | 32 | 14 | 43.8% |
| 2010/11 | 28 | 5 | 17.9% |
| 2009/10 | 28 | 11 | 39.3% |
| 2008/09 | 26 | 6 | 23.1% |
| 2007/08 | 22 | 7 | 31.8% |
| 2006/07 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% |
| 2005/06 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May 2023 | Lincoln City | 1–0 | Shrewsbury Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 03 May 2023 | Burton Albion | 1–0 | Cambridge United | H | ENG · League One |
| 15 Apr 2023 | Salford City | 0–1 | Colchester United | A | ENG · League Two |
| 07 Apr 2023 | Rochdale | 4–2 | Walsall | H | ENG · League Two |
| 14 Mar 2023 | Morecambe | 1–4 | Charlton Athletic | A | ENG · League One |
| 04 Mar 2023 | Harrogate Town | 0–0 | Gillingham | D | ENG · League Two |
| 25 Feb 2023 | Grimsby Town | 2–2 | Leyton Orient | D | ENG · League Two |
| 14 Feb 2023 | Stockport County | 2–1 | Crawley Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 11 Feb 2023 | Hartlepool United | 2–2 | Sutton United | D | ENG · League Two |
| 07 Feb 2023 | Doncaster Rovers | 2–0 | Tranmere Rovers | H | ENG · League Two |
| 28 Jan 2023 | Milton Keynes Dons | 0–2 | Exeter City | A | ENG · League One |
| 07 Jan 2023 | Rochdale | 1–1 | Newport County | D | ENG · League Two |
| 02 Jan 2023 | Sheffield Wednesday | 5–0 | Cambridge United | H | ENG · League One |
| 29 Dec 2022 | Crewe Alexandra | 0–3 | Carlisle United | A | ENG · League Two |
| 19 Nov 2022 | Barnsley | 3–1 | Milton Keynes Dons | H | ENG · League One |
| 25 Oct 2022 | Tranmere Rovers | 1–1 | Rochdale | D | ENG · League Two |
| 22 Oct 2022 | Grimsby Town | 0–0 | Bradford City | D | ENG · League Two |
| 15 Oct 2022 | Swindon Town | 1–0 | Colchester United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 04 Oct 2022 | Hartlepool United | 2–1 | Doncaster Rovers | H | ENG · League Two |
| 17 Sep 2022 | Carlisle United | 2–1 | AFC Wimbledon | H | ENG · League Two |
| 13 Sep 2022 | Grimsby Town | 1–1 | Gillingham | D | ENG · League Two |
| 20 Aug 2022 | Burton Albion | 0–2 | Port Vale | A | ENG · League One |
| 16 Aug 2022 | Barrow | 2–1 | Walsall | H | ENG · League Two |
| 06 Aug 2022 | Shrewsbury Town | 0–1 | Accrington Stanley | A | ENG · League One |
| 30 Jul 2022 | Lincoln City | 1–1 | Exeter City | D | ENG · League One |
| 23 Apr 2022 | Hartlepool United | 0–3 | Swindon Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 18 Apr 2022 | Salford City | 2–2 | Barrow | D | ENG · League Two |
| 12 Apr 2022 | Burton Albion | 0–0 | Wigan Athletic | D | ENG · League One |
| 02 Apr 2022 | Walsall | 0–2 | Leyton Orient | A | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Mar 2022 | Carlisle United | 1–0 | Bristol Rovers | H | ENG · League Two |
| 15 Mar 2022 | Rotherham United | 2–1 | Lincoln City | H | ENG · League One |
| 11 Mar 2022 | Tranmere Rovers | 3–2 | Mansfield Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 05 Mar 2022 | Crewe Alexandra | 1–3 | Wycombe Wanderers | A | ENG · League One |
| 26 Feb 2022 | Colchester United | 1–1 | Oldham Athletic | D | ENG · League Two |
| 22 Feb 2022 | Doncaster Rovers | 2–0 | Accrington Stanley | H | ENG · League One |
| 08 Feb 2022 | Harrogate Town | 1–3 | Crawley Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 01 Feb 2022 | Bolton Wanderers | 2–0 | Cambridge United | H | ENG · League One |
| 25 Jan 2022 | Barrow | 0–2 | Salford City | A | ENG · League Two |
| 15 Jan 2022 | Port Vale | 1–3 | Swindon Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 08 Jan 2022 | Carlisle United | 2–0 | Bradford City | H | ENG · League Two |
| 07 Dec 2021 | Oldham Athletic | 0–1 | Tranmere Rovers | A | ENG · League Two |
| 27 Nov 2021 | Rochdale | 1–1 | Exeter City | D | ENG · League Two |
| 23 Nov 2021 | Morecambe | 2–2 | Charlton Athletic | D | ENG · League One |
| 30 Oct 2021 | Crewe Alexandra | 1–4 | Milton Keynes Dons | A | ENG · League One |
| 26 Oct 2021 | Doncaster Rovers | 1–1 | Cambridge United | D | ENG · League One |
| 23 Oct 2021 | Walsall | 2–2 | Barrow | D | ENG · League Two |
| 16 Oct 2021 | Bradford City | 2–2 | Bristol Rovers | D | ENG · League Two |
| 02 Oct 2021 | Sheffield Wednesday | 1–2 | Oxford United | A | ENG · League One |
| 28 Sep 2021 | Rotherham United | 3–0 | AFC Wimbledon | H | ENG · League One |
| 18 Sep 2021 | Accrington Stanley | 1–4 | Wigan Athletic | A | ENG · League One |