What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 553 matches (Feb 2015 – Sep 2026), BSC Young Boys drew 127 where the draw model expected 114.6 from those particular fixtures — about 12 more, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 133.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 20 Feb 2016 → 18 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 17 Aug 2025 → 26 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 05 Oct 2014 → 09 Dec 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 18 Mar 2021 → 24 Jul 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 28 Sep 2019 → 09 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 04 Aug 2010 → 09 Dec 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 22 Apr 2018 → 12 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 29 Jan 2025 → 01 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 27 Oct 2018 → 02 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 09 Aug 2015 → 04 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League | 519 | 126 | 24.3% | 1 | 23 |
| Swiss Cup | 374 | 59 | 15.8% | 2 | 10 |
| UEFA Europa League | 98 | 21 | 21.4% | 10 | 10 |
| UEFA Champions League | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 8 | 8 |
| Club Friendlies | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 | 6 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 7 |
| 2025 | 57 | 12 | 21.1% | 18 |
| 2024 | 50 | 9 | 18.0% | 10 |
| 2023 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 7 |
| 2022 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 8 |
| 2021 | 56 | 12 | 21.4% | 15 |
| 2020 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2019 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 14 |
| 2018 | 48 | 6 | 12.5% | 13 |
| 2017 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2016 | 45 | 9 | 20.0% | 25 |
| 2015 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 12 |
| 2014 | 50 | 8 | 16.0% | 16 |
| 2013 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 10 |
| 2012 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 5 |
| 2011 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2010 | 15 | 1 | 6.7% | 14 |
| 2009 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 6 |
| 2008 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2007 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2006 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2004 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2003 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 2002 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1995 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1993 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1992 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1990 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1987 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1986 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1985 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1982 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1979 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1978 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1975 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1974 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1973 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1962 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 1959 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1958 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1957 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1956 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1955 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1953 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1952 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1945 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 2 |
| 1944 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1943 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1941 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1940 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1939 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1937 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1936 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1934 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1930 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1929 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1928 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1927 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1926 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1925 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 02 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Oct 14:30 |
Aarau
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.5% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.