York City
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 5 Oct 2026.
Over 324 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), York City drew 91 where the draw model expected 82.9 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 1.0 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 83.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 21 Jan 2026 → 18 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 19 Nov 1994 → 11 Mar 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 31 Oct 2009 → 23 Jan 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 16 Feb 2002 → 06 Apr 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 16 Sep 1995 → 31 Oct 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 01 Jan 2011 → 15 Feb 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 26 Apr 2003 → 13 Sep 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 31 Aug 1993 → 23 Oct 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 21 Dec 2024 → 18 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 19 Oct 2024 → 30 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 546 | 157 | 28.7% | 0 | 19 |
| League Two | 422 | 137 | 32.5% | 3 | 12 |
| League One | 276 | 75 | 27.2% | 4 | 20 |
| FA Cup | 244 | 66 | 27.1% | 1 | 6 |
| League Cup | 124 | 33 | 26.6% | 1 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 4 | 12.9% | 19 |
| 2025 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 8 |
| 2024 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 9 |
| 2023 | 50 | 17 | 34.0% | 7 |
| 2022 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% | 4 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 20 | 8 | 40.0% | 8 |
| 2016 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 9 |
| 2015 | 52 | 18 | 34.6% | 9 |
| 2014 | 49 | 19 | 38.8% | 6 |
| 2013 | 48 | 20 | 41.7% | 6 |
| 2012 | 47 | 18 | 38.3% | 7 |
| 2011 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 10 |
| 2010 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 5 |
| 2009 | 46 | 15 | 32.6% | 9 |
| 2008 | 48 | 18 | 37.5% | 6 |
| 2007 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 8 |
| 2006 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 7 |
| 2005 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 2004 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 4 |
| 2003 | 49 | 17 | 34.7% | 10 |
| 2002 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 12 |
| 2001 | 51 | 17 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2000 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 1999 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 8 |
| 1998 | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 5 |
| 1997 | 54 | 18 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 1996 | 57 | 18 | 31.6% | 9 |
| 1995 | 51 | 7 | 13.7% | 12 |
| 1994 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 8 |
| 1993 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 10 |
| 1992 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1991 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1988 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1987 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 1985 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 2 |
| 1984 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1983 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1982 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1981 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1979 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1978 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1974 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1972 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 2 |
| 1969 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1967 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 1965 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1964 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1962 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1961 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1960 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1959 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1955 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1945 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1939 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1937 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1930 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1928 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
York City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 14.3% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Newport County
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.7% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
York City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.5% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
York City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:45 |
Barnet
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.3% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 12:30 |
Grimsby Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.3% |
|
| Sat, 14 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Nov 15:00 |
Rochdale
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.