KVC Westerlo
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 257 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), KVC Westerlo drew 67 where the draw model expected 57.9 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 61.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 25 Sep 2004 → 29 Jan 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 22 Apr 2001 → 29 Sep 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 09 Nov 2002 → 22 Feb 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 18 Dec 2010 → 12 Mar 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 23 Oct 2011 → 14 Jan 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 08 Mar 2009 → 01 Aug 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 21 Dec 2005 → 11 Mar 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 09 Feb 2008 → 12 Apr 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 05 May 2002 → 26 Oct 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 24 Jul 2022 → 17 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgian Pro League | 744 | 190 | 25.5% | 3 | 14 |
| Belgian Cup | 116 | 18 | 15.5% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 7 |
| 2025 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 8 |
| 2024 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 6 |
| 2023 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2022 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 9 |
| 2021 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 4 |
| 2016 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 9 |
| 2015 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 8 |
| 2014 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 5 |
| 2013 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 9 |
| 2011 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 10 |
| 2010 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2009 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 11 |
| 2008 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 10 |
| 2007 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 6 |
| 2006 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 2005 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 6 |
| 2004 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 12 |
| 2003 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2002 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2001 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 14 |
| 2000 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 9 |
| 1999 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1998 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 9 |
| 1997 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 4 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1980 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1977 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1973 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1968 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1967 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1966 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 16:30 |
KVC Westerlo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 18:45 |
KVC Westerlo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 19:45 |
RSC Anderlecht
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 15:00 |
KVC Westerlo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.