Werder Bremen
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 446 matches (Feb 2015 – Sep 2026), Werder Bremen drew 112 where the draw model expected 105.5 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 111.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 01 May 2004 → 27 Oct 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 02 Feb 2003 → 02 Aug 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 10 Nov 2019 → 04 Mar 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 31 Oct 2007 → 03 Feb 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 22 Oct 2022 → 12 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 30 Aug 2015 → 28 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 22 Nov 2006 → 17 Feb 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 19 Mar 2005 → 24 Aug 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 21 Mar 1998 → 09 Sep 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 31 Jan 2025 → 19 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 1092 | 266 | 24.4% | 1 | 17 |
| UEFA Europa League | 99 | 24 | 24.2% | 0 | 8 |
| UEFA Champions League | 66 | 14 | 21.2% | 3 | 8 |
| DFB-Pokal | 58 | 8 | 13.8% | 1 | 9 |
| 2. Bundesliga | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 4 | 8 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | 3 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 16 | 7 | 43.8% | 1 | 2 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 6 | 20.7% | 10 |
| 2025 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 12 |
| 2024 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 5 |
| 2023 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 11 |
| 2022 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 6 |
| 2021 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 9 |
| 2020 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 11 |
| 2019 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 7 |
| 2018 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 9 |
| 2017 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 10 |
| 2016 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 2015 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 13 |
| 2014 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 8 |
| 2013 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 7 |
| 2012 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 5 |
| 2011 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 10 |
| 2010 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 8 |
| 2009 | 56 | 14 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2008 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 5 |
| 2007 | 52 | 7 | 13.5% | 13 |
| 2006 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 8 |
| 2005 | 44 | 5 | 11.4% | 13 |
| 2004 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 17 |
| 2003 | 34 | 4 | 11.8% | 17 |
| 2002 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 6 |
| 2001 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 10 |
| 2000 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 12 |
| 1999 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 9 |
| 1998 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 13 |
| 1997 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 8 |
| 1996 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 9 |
| 1995 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 8 |
| 1994 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 1993 | 28 | 10 | 35.7% | 7 |
| 1992 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 1991 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1989 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 1988 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 1986 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1965 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1962 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 09 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 09 Oct 18:30 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 14.2% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 13:30 |
Werder Bremen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 13:30 |
Mainz 05
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.5% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:45 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 13.1% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 14:30 |
Werder Bremen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 17:30 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.2% |
|
| Sat, 30 Jan 2027 | ||||||
| 30 Jan |
RB Leipzig
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.