☆
· POR · Primeira Liga
Team ☆
all results ›
POR · Club
CD Nacional
CD Nacional
Played
663
Draw %
24.7%
No-draw N
7
Max streak
13
01 Jun 2003 → 30 Nov 2003
Avg top run
10.7
top 10
Draw debt E
1.58
p50
22.0%
p100
23.0%
Draw score
0.381
rank #244
Draws
164
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,536
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,722
reached 8 Feb 2014
Rank
#1,201
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
663
last 11 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 253 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), CD Nacional drew 60 where the draw model expected 62.3 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 63.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 13
09 Feb 2021 → 01 May 2021
2 13
08 Mar 2008 → 28 Sep 2008
3 13
19 Apr 2004 → 24 Oct 2004
4 13
01 Jun 2003 → 30 Nov 2003
5 11
28 Nov 2004 → 18 Feb 2005
6 9
15 Mar 2026 → 16 May 2026
7 9
26 Feb 2016 → 01 May 2016
8 9
25 Aug 2006 → 21 Oct 2006
9 9
23 Oct 2005 → 22 Dec 2005
10 8
21 Feb 2025 → 19 Apr 2025
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 09 Feb 2021 → 01 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 08 Mar 2008 → 28 Sep 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 19 Apr 2004 → 24 Oct 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 01 Jun 2003 → 30 Nov 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 28 Nov 2004 → 18 Feb 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 15 Mar 2026 → 16 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 26 Feb 2016 → 01 May 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 25 Aug 2006 → 21 Oct 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 23 Oct 2005 → 22 Dec 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 21 Feb 2025 → 19 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 622 | 150 | 24.1% | 7 | 13 |
| UEFA Europa League | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 2 | 3 |
| Taça de Portugal | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 5 | 62.5% | 1 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 9 |
| 2025 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 8 |
| 2024 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 5 |
| 2023 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2021 | 24 | 3 | 12.5% | 13 |
| 2020 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 5 |
| 2019 | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 8 |
| 2018 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 2017 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 6 |
| 2016 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2015 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 7 |
| 2014 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 5 |
| 2013 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 8 |
| 2012 | 29 | 5 | 17.2% | 8 |
| 2011 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 7 |
| 2010 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 2009 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2008 | 28 | 7 | 25.0% | 13 |
| 2007 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 6 |
| 2006 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 9 |
| 2005 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 9 |
| 2004 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 13 |
| 2003 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 13 |
| 2002 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 5 |
Matches
all results ›
663 matches · page 1 / 17
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 14:00 | Sanjoanense | vs |
|
– / – / – | 21.8% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 25 Oct 18:00 |
CD Nacional
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.6% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 01 Nov 15:30 |
Arouca
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 15:30 |
CD Nacional
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.