Waasland-Beveren
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 198 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Waasland-Beveren drew 50 where the draw model expected 45.8 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 48.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 30 Nov 2019 → 26 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 24 Aug 2014 → 17 Jan 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 23 Sep 2017 → 08 Dec 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 30 Aug 2015 → 31 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 04 Nov 2018 → 27 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 27 Feb 2021 → 18 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 05 Oct 2019 → 09 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 22 Aug 2026 → 20 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 02 Dec 2020 → 20 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 12 Feb 2017 → 12 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgian Pro League | 278 | 74 | 26.6% | 5 | 18 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2021 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2020 | 28 | 4 | 14.3% | 16 |
| 2019 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 2018 | 30 | 12 | 40.0% | 8 |
| 2017 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 11 |
| 2016 | 29 | 10 | 34.5% | 3 |
| 2015 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2014 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% | 17 |
| 2013 | 29 | 10 | 34.5% | 4 |
| 2012 | 22 | 7 | 31.8% | 5 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 09 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 09 Oct 18:45 |
Waasland-Beveren
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 18:45 |
KVC Westerlo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 19:45 |
Waasland-Beveren
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.9% |
|
| Fri, 06 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 06 Nov 19:45 |
Standard Liège
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.