Vålerenga Fotball
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 405 matches (Apr 2015 – Sep 2026), Vålerenga Fotball drew 100 where the draw model expected 89.8 from those particular fixtures — about 10 more, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 91.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 08 May 2010 → 08 Apr 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 21 | 24 May 2009 → 20 Sep 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 20 | 19 Aug 2017 → 18 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 20 | 24 May 1965 → 03 Oct 1965 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 19 | 12 May 1997 → 25 Aug 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 18 | 19 Aug 2011 → 10 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 17 | 21 Oct 2012 → 16 May 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 16 | 27 May 1968 → 05 Oct 1968 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 14 | 19 Apr 1999 → 30 Jun 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 14 | 22 Apr 1995 → 25 Jun 1995 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliteserien | 1457 | 359 | 24.6% | 0 | 23 |
| Norwegian Football Cup | 381 | 48 | 12.6% | 2 | 7 |
| 1. divisjon | 152 | 24 | 15.8% | 1 | 15 |
| UEFA Europa League | 24 | 9 | 37.5% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 0 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 2 | 7 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 10 |
| 2025 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 8 |
| 2024 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 9 |
| 2023 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 9 |
| 2022 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 9 |
| 2021 | 33 | 13 | 39.4% | 3 |
| 2020 | 30 | 10 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2019 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 6 |
| 2018 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2017 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 14 |
| 2016 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 12 |
| 2015 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 11 |
| 2014 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 9 |
| 2013 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 12 |
| 2012 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 7 |
| 2011 | 36 | 5 | 13.9% | 15 |
| 2010 | 32 | 4 | 12.5% | 22 |
| 2009 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 21 |
| 2008 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 8 |
| 2007 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 2006 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 8 |
| 2005 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 9 |
| 2004 | 29 | 9 | 31.0% | 9 |
| 2003 | 37 | 16 | 43.2% | 5 |
| 2002 | 33 | 13 | 39.4% | 6 |
| 2001 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 6 |
| 2000 | 29 | 9 | 31.0% | 6 |
| 1999 | 32 | 4 | 12.5% | 14 |
| 1998 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 7 |
| 1997 | 34 | 4 | 11.8% | 19 |
| 1996 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 1995 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 14 |
| 1994 | 26 | 8 | 30.8% | 9 |
| 1993 | 26 | 4 | 15.4% | 9 |
| 1992 | 26 | 3 | 11.5% | 10 |
| 1991 | 25 | 1 | 4.0% | 12 |
| 1990 | 25 | 4 | 16.0% | 11 |
| 1989 | 26 | 2 | 7.7% | 11 |
| 1988 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 9 |
| 1987 | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 9 |
| 1986 | 28 | 7 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 1985 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 14 |
| 1984 | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 6 |
| 1983 | 29 | 7 | 24.1% | 8 |
| 1982 | 27 | 4 | 14.8% | 11 |
| 1981 | 30 | 12 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 1980 | 30 | 10 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 1979 | 24 | 4 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 1978 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 4 |
| 1977 | 25 | 4 | 16.0% | 12 |
| 1976 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1975 | 29 | 12 | 41.4% | 6 |
| 1974 | 24 | 4 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 1973 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1972 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1970 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 16 |
| 1967 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 1966 | 25 | 3 | 12.0% | 11 |
| 1965 | 25 | 3 | 12.0% | 20 |
| 1964 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 5 |
| 1963 | 24 | 3 | 12.5% | 12 |
| 1962 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 7 |
| 1961 | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 9 |
| 1960 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 8 |
| 1959 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 1958 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1957 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 6 |
| 1956 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 1955 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 1954 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 4 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 6 |
| 1951 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 7 |
| 1950 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 10 |
| 1949 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 10 |
| 1948 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 1947 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1945 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1940 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1939 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1937 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1935 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1934 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1932 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1931 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1928 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1925 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1924 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1923 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1922 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.