Utrecht
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 454 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Utrecht drew 122 where the draw model expected 97.6 from those particular fixtures — about 24 more, or 2.8 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 7 times running. A flat league average would have expected 103.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 25 Apr 1999 → 05 Dec 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 07 Apr 2023 → 22 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 20 Jan 2013 → 12 May 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 15 Mar 2026 → 15 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 06 Oct 2013 → 25 Jan 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 29 Sep 2019 → 22 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 18 Jul 2025 → 20 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 24 Aug 2024 → 01 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 08 Feb 1998 → 11 Apr 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 22 Sep 2021 → 04 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 1120 | 293 | 26.2% | 2 | 21 |
| UEFA Europa League | 68 | 19 | 27.9% | 4 | 6 |
| KNVB Cup | 51 | 5 | 9.8% | 2 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 5 | 5 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% | 15 |
| 2025 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 12 |
| 2024 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 12 |
| 2023 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 16 |
| 2022 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 8 |
| 2021 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 11 |
| 2020 | 29 | 12 | 41.4% | 4 |
| 2019 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 13 |
| 2018 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 7 |
| 2017 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 9 |
| 2016 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 9 |
| 2015 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 8 |
| 2014 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2013 | 39 | 4 | 10.3% | 16 |
| 2012 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 7 |
| 2011 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2010 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 8 |
| 2009 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 5 |
| 2008 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 9 |
| 2007 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 9 |
| 2006 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 11 |
| 2005 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 7 |
| 2004 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 11 |
| 2003 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 5 |
| 2002 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 2001 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 5 |
| 2000 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 1999 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 21 |
| 1998 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 12 |
| 1997 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 9 |
| 1996 | 36 | 15 | 41.7% | 6 |
| 1995 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 6 |
| 1994 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 7 |
| 1993 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 1991 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1987 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 10:15 |
Utrecht
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 13.1% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 18:00 |
Twente
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.3% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:30 |
Utrecht
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 18:00 |
Utrecht
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 11.2% |
|
| Thu, 29 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 29 Oct 17:45 |
Kozakken Boys
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.9% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 13:30 |
SC Telstar
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 19:00 |
Utrecht
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.