☆
· ITL · Club Friendlies
Team ☆
all results ›
Played
860
Draw %
22.7%
No-draw N
1
Max streak
35
01 Aug 2009 → 02 May 2010
Avg top run
18.6
top 10
Draw debt E
0.20
p50
24.0%
p100
18.0%
Draw score
0.092
rank #1,604
Draws
195
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,587
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,671
reached 25 Feb 2023
Rank
#596
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
860
last 2 Aug 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 225 matches (Sep 2015 – Aug 2026), RKC Waalwijk drew 52 where the draw model expected 46.4 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 50.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 35
01 Aug 2009 → 02 May 2010
2 27
12 Feb 2023 → 25 Nov 2023
3 24
02 Feb 2003 → 04 Oct 2003
4 17
10 Apr 2005 → 29 Oct 2005
5 17
26 Sep 1999 → 19 Feb 2000
6 16
27 Nov 1997 → 26 Apr 1998
7 14
23 Feb 1997 → 20 Aug 1997
8 13
30 Dec 2006 → 31 Mar 2007
9 12
13 Aug 2011 → 29 Oct 2011
10 11
25 Aug 2019 → 10 Nov 2019
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | 01 Aug 2009 → 02 May 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 27 | 12 Feb 2023 → 25 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 24 | 02 Feb 2003 → 04 Oct 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 17 | 10 Apr 2005 → 29 Oct 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 17 | 26 Sep 1999 → 19 Feb 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 16 | 27 Nov 1997 → 26 Apr 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 23 Feb 1997 → 20 Aug 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 30 Dec 2006 → 31 Mar 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 13 Aug 2011 → 29 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 25 Aug 2019 → 10 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 808 | 187 | 23.1% | 6 | 34 |
| KNVB Cup | 46 | 5 | 10.9% | 3 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 7 |
| 2024 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 9 |
| 2023 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 27 |
| 2022 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2021 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 7 |
| 2020 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 5 |
| 2019 | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 11 |
| 2018 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2017 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 4 |
| 2013 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 9 |
| 2012 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 2011 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 12 |
| 2010 | 18 | 0 | 0.0% | 16 |
| 2009 | 19 | 0 | 0.0% | 19 |
| 2008 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 12 |
| 2006 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2005 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 17 |
| 2004 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 6 |
| 2003 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 24 |
| 2002 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 9 |
| 2001 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 7 |
| 2000 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 9 |
| 1999 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 13 |
| 1998 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 13 |
| 1997 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 14 |
| 1996 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 7 |
| 1995 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 10 |
| 1994 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 1993 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 4 |
Matches
all results ›
860 matches · page 1 / 22
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tue, 27 Oct 2026
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NED · KNVB Cup
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| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 27 Oct 19:00 |
BVV Barendrecht
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vs |
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– / – / – | 17.5% |
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Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.