Twente
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 407 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Twente drew 104 where the draw model expected 88.4 from those particular fixtures — about 16 more, or 1.9 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 93.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 09 Apr 2017 → 24 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 04 Dec 2011 → 21 Mar 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 20 Sep 2008 → 09 Nov 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 21 Nov 1996 → 03 May 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 12 Aug 2012 → 07 Oct 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 01 Feb 2004 → 01 May 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 07 May 2023 → 08 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 01 Sep 2019 → 01 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 12 Dec 2015 → 12 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 19 Apr 2011 → 21 Sep 2011 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 1087 | 290 | 26.7% | 3 | 18 |
| UEFA Europa League | 116 | 28 | 24.1% | 4 | 11 |
| KNVB Cup | 56 | 9 | 16.1% | 0 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 2 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 0 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 2 | 7 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 0 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 7 |
| 2025 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 11 |
| 2024 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2023 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 12 |
| 2022 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 8 |
| 2021 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 5 |
| 2020 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 6 |
| 2019 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 12 |
| 2018 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2017 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 20 |
| 2016 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 10 |
| 2015 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 9 |
| 2014 | 38 | 15 | 39.5% | 4 |
| 2013 | 35 | 14 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2012 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 14 |
| 2011 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 12 |
| 2010 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2009 | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 9 |
| 2008 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 15 |
| 2007 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 6 |
| 2006 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 7 |
| 2005 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 8 |
| 2004 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 14 |
| 2003 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 11 |
| 2002 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 10 |
| 2001 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 5 |
| 2000 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 5 |
| 1999 | 32 | 13 | 40.6% | 5 |
| 1998 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 10 |
| 1997 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 10 |
| 1996 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 10 |
| 1995 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 10 |
| 1994 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 11 |
| 1993 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 7 |
| 1990 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 1974 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 1973 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1972 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 1970 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 18:00 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.4% |
|
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 15 Oct 19:00 |
Twente
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.9% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 18:00 |
Twente
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.3% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 22 Oct 19:00 |
Lincoln Red Imps
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 11.2% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 19:00 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 13:30 |
Excelsior Rotterdam
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.7% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Nov 20:00 |
Twente
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 12.4% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 13:30 |
Twente
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.