What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 141 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Switzerland drew 40 where the draw model expected 29.3 from those particular fixtures — about 11 more, or 2.3 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 32.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 02 Jun 2022 → 16 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 22 Aug 2007 → 20 Aug 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 10 Jun 2015 → 11 Jun 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 06 Sep 1978 → 30 Apr 1980 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 01 Jan 1928 → 05 May 1929 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 06 Sep 2016 → 09 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 18 Jun 1936 → 10 Oct 1937 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 30 May 2014 → 15 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 11 Jun 2003 → 06 Jun 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 13 Jun 1996 → 06 Aug 1997 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 476 | 101 | 21.2% | 0 | 12 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 146 | 39 | 26.7% | 0 | 11 |
| UEFA Euro qualification | 110 | 29 | 26.4% | 1 | 10 |
| Central European International Cup | 50 | 8 | 16.0% | 2 | 5 |
| FIFA World Cup | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Nations League | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 3 | 6 |
| UEFA European Championship | 23 | 11 | 47.8% | 0 | 3 |
| Olympic Games | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 1 | 4 |
| Miami Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Tournoi de France | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Cyprus International Tournament | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Lunar New Year Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 4 |
| 2025 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 2024 | 15 | 7 | 46.7% | 3 |
| 2023 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2022 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 11 |
| 2021 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 2020 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 2019 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 2018 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 7 |
| 2017 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 2016 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2015 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 2014 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 2013 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2012 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 6 |
| 2011 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 4 |
| 2010 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2009 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 |
| 2008 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 8 |
| 2007 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 6 |
| 2006 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 5 |
| 2005 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 3 |
| 2004 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2003 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2002 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 2001 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 2000 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 2 |
| 1999 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 1998 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 1 |
| 1997 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1996 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 1995 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1994 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 1993 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1992 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1991 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1990 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 6 |
| 1989 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 5 |
| 1988 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 4 |
| 1987 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 3 |
| 1986 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1985 | 12 | 7 | 58.3% | 2 |
| 1984 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 1983 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 6 |
| 1982 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 1981 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1980 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 6 |
| 1979 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1978 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1977 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 4 |
| 1976 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1975 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1974 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1973 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1972 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1970 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1969 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1968 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1967 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1966 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1965 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1964 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1963 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1961 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1959 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1957 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1955 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1954 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 1953 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1952 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1951 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1950 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1949 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1948 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1947 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1946 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1945 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1943 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1942 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1941 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1940 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1939 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1938 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1937 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 1936 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1935 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1934 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1933 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 1932 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1931 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1930 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1929 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1928 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 1927 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1926 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1925 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1924 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1923 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1922 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1921 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1920 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1918 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1917 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1915 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1914 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1913 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1912 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1911 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1910 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1909 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1908 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1905 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 06 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 06 Oct 18:45 | Switzerland | vs | North Macedonia | – / – / – | 11.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.