☆
· GER · DFB-Pokal
Team ☆
all results ›
GER · Club
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Played
1,047
Draw %
27.3%
No-draw N
1
Max streak
17
03 Feb 2024 → 09 Aug 2024
Avg top run
12.6
top 10
Draw debt E
0.30
p50
34.0%
p100
28.0%
Draw score
0.131
rank #1,256
Draws
286
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,732
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,848
reached 9 Aug 2024
Rank
#240
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
1,047
last 11 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 433 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), FC St. Pauli drew 119 where the draw model expected 114.8 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 115.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 17
03 Feb 2024 → 09 Aug 2024
2 16
22 Feb 2010 → 12 Sep 2010
3 14
29 Jan 2023 → 06 May 2023
4 12
29 Oct 2024 → 26 Jan 2025
5 12
30 Jul 2011 → 28 Oct 2011
6 11
15 Mar 2021 → 25 Jul 2021
7 11
10 Dec 2018 → 16 Mar 2019
8 11
22 Aug 2008 → 10 Nov 2008
9 11
16 Mar 2008 → 18 May 2008
10 11
04 Aug 2007 → 21 Oct 2007
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 03 Feb 2024 → 09 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 22 Feb 2010 → 12 Sep 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 29 Jan 2023 → 06 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 29 Oct 2024 → 26 Jan 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 30 Jul 2011 → 28 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 15 Mar 2021 → 25 Jul 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 10 Dec 2018 → 16 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 22 Aug 2008 → 10 Nov 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 16 Mar 2008 → 18 May 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 04 Aug 2007 → 21 Oct 2007 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 793 | 221 | 27.9% | 1 | 17 |
| Bundesliga | 204 | 48 | 23.5% | 4 | 11 |
| DFB-Pokal | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 0 | 2 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 12 | 37.5% | 6 |
| 2025 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 6 |
| 2024 | 37 | 4 | 10.8% | 17 |
| 2023 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 14 |
| 2022 | 37 | 15 | 40.5% | 5 |
| 2021 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 11 |
| 2020 | 29 | 11 | 37.9% | 4 |
| 2019 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 8 |
| 2018 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 8 |
| 2017 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 8 |
| 2016 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2015 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 9 |
| 2014 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2013 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2012 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2011 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 12 |
| 2010 | 35 | 3 | 8.6% | 16 |
| 2009 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 7 |
| 2008 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 11 |
| 2007 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 11 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 17 | 7 | 41.2% | 4 |
| 2002 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 11 |
| 2001 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 8 |
| 2000 | 35 | 14 | 40.0% | 7 |
| 1999 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 6 |
| 1998 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 10 |
| 1997 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 7 |
| 1996 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 6 |
| 1995 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 6 |
| 1994 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 7 |
| 1993 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 2 |
Matches
all results ›
Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 18:30 |
Hannover 96
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
| Fri, 23 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 23 Oct 16:30 |
SV Darmstadt 98
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 01 Nov 12:30 |
FC St. Pauli
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 08 Nov 12:30 |
1. FC Magdeburg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.8% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 19:30 |
FC St. Pauli
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.5% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.