Sporting CP
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 540 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Sporting CP drew 102 where the draw model expected 105.8 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 132.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 Sep 2021 → 06 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 21 | 23 Sep 2019 → 09 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 18 | 09 Mar 2008 → 22 Oct 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 17 | 31 Jan 2018 → 28 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 16 | 20 Oct 2015 → 10 Jan 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 16 | 29 Sep 2002 → 05 Feb 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 15 | 01 May 2005 → 16 Oct 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 04 Dec 2023 → 19 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 14 | 13 Aug 2022 → 22 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 14 | 01 Sep 2018 → 09 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 1063 | 230 | 21.6% | 0 | 17 |
| UEFA Europa League | 201 | 48 | 23.9% | 1 | 11 |
| UEFA Champions League | 125 | 26 | 20.8% | 1 | 8 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 2 | 5 |
| Taça de Portugal | 28 | 9 | 32.1% | 0 | 6 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 1 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 2025 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 11 |
| 2024 | 53 | 9 | 17.0% | 13 |
| 2023 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 7 |
| 2022 | 47 | 7 | 14.9% | 14 |
| 2021 | 49 | 7 | 14.3% | 20 |
| 2020 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 6 |
| 2019 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 15 |
| 2018 | 43 | 5 | 11.6% | 17 |
| 2017 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 11 |
| 2016 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 11 |
| 2015 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 13 |
| 2014 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2013 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 10 |
| 2012 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 13 |
| 2011 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 12 |
| 2010 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2009 | 46 | 16 | 34.8% | 7 |
| 2008 | 36 | 5 | 13.9% | 18 |
| 2007 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 8 |
| 2006 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 11 |
| 2005 | 44 | 6 | 13.6% | 15 |
| 2004 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 13 |
| 2003 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 8 |
| 2002 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 11 |
| 2001 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 9 |
| 2000 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 1999 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 10 |
| 1998 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 6 |
| 1997 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 12 |
| 1996 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 12 |
| 1995 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 4 |
| 1994 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 6 |
| 1993 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1992 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 1989 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1988 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1987 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1986 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1985 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1982 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1980 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1974 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1972 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1970 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1969 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1964 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 |
| 1963 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1961 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1955 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 09 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 09 Oct 19:15 |
SC Braga
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Tue, 13 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 13 Oct 16:45 |
RC Lens
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Wed, 21 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 21 Oct 19:00 |
Sporting CP
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.3% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 20:30 |
Sporting CP
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 14.2% |
|
| Fri, 30 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 30 Oct 20:15 |
Casa Pia AC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 13.1% |
|
| Tue, 03 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Nov 17:45 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 20:30 |
Sporting CP
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 11.1% |
|
| Wed, 27 Jan 2027 | ||||||
| 27 Jan 20:00 |
Manchester City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.5% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.