☆
· POR · Primeira Liga
Team ☆
all results ›
POR · Club
Casa Pia AC
Casa Pia AC
Played
162
Draw %
24.7%
No-draw N
3
Max streak
12
11 Sep 2022 → 28 Dec 2022
Avg top run
7.2
top 10
Draw debt E
0.80
p50
28.0%
p100
26.0%
Draw score
0.248
rank #567
Draws
40
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,545
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,679
reached 25 Jan 2025
Rank
#1,002
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
162
last 10 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 162 matches (Oct 2021 – Oct 2026), Casa Pia AC drew 40 where the draw model expected 40.8 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 40.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 12
11 Sep 2022 → 28 Dec 2022
2 11
12 Jan 2025 → 29 Mar 2025
3 10
21 Apr 2024 → 14 Sep 2024
4 8
02 Dec 2023 → 29 Jan 2024
5 7
10 May 2025 → 14 Sep 2025
6 6
18 Jul 2026 → 30 Aug 2026
7 6
25 Feb 2023 → 09 Apr 2023
8 5
12 Jan 2023 → 04 Feb 2023
9 4
23 Apr 2026 → 11 May 2026
10 3
12 Sep 2026 → 10 Oct 2026
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 11 Sep 2022 → 28 Dec 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 12 Jan 2025 → 29 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 21 Apr 2024 → 14 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 02 Dec 2023 → 29 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 10 May 2025 → 14 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 18 Jul 2026 → 30 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 25 Feb 2023 → 09 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 12 Jan 2023 → 04 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 23 Apr 2026 → 11 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 12 Sep 2026 → 10 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 144 | 38 | 26.4% | 3 | 10 |
| Taça de Portugal | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 3 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28 | 8 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2025 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 11 |
| 2024 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 10 |
| 2023 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 6 |
| 2022 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 12 |
| 2021 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
Matches
all results ›
162 matches · page 1 / 5
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 18 Oct 14:00 |
Alpendorada
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 14:30 |
CF Estrela da Amadora
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.8% |
|
| Fri, 30 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 30 Oct 20:15 |
Casa Pia AC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 13.1% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 18:00 |
Alverca
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.