☆
· POR · Primeira Liga
Team ☆
all results ›
POR · Club
FC Famalicão
FC Famalicão
Played
267
Draw %
30.0%
No-draw N
2
Max streak
17
29 Jan 2023 → 08 May 2023
Avg top run
8.9
top 10
Draw debt E
0.63
p50
32.0%
p100
31.0%
Draw score
0.193
rank #799
Draws
80
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,718
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,764
reached 2 May 2026
Rank
#259
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
267
last 12 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 267 matches (Aug 2019 – Oct 2026), FC Famalicão drew 80 where the draw model expected 67.1 from those particular fixtures — about 13 more, or 1.8 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 67.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 17
29 Jan 2023 → 08 May 2023
2 12
06 Dec 2025 → 23 Feb 2026
3 9
17 Feb 2025 → 18 Apr 2025
4 9
28 Aug 2022 → 31 Oct 2022
5 8
28 Apr 2024 → 01 Sep 2024
6 8
30 Apr 2021 → 20 Aug 2021
7 8
27 Dec 2020 → 08 Feb 2021
8 7
03 May 2025 → 16 Aug 2025
9 6
31 Aug 2019 → 30 Oct 2019
10 5
18 Oct 2025 → 22 Nov 2025
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 29 Jan 2023 → 08 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 06 Dec 2025 → 23 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 17 Feb 2025 → 18 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 28 Aug 2022 → 31 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 28 Apr 2024 → 01 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 30 Apr 2021 → 20 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 27 Dec 2020 → 08 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 03 May 2025 → 16 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 31 Aug 2019 → 30 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 18 Oct 2025 → 22 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 246 | 77 | 31.3% | 2 | 14 |
| Taça de Portugal | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 3 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 | 2 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 11 | 37.9% | 7 |
| 2025 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 9 |
| 2024 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 8 |
| 2023 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 17 |
| 2022 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 9 |
| 2021 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 8 |
| 2020 | 31 | 14 | 45.2% | 3 |
| 2019 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 6 |
Matches
all results ›
267 matches · page 1 / 7
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 18 Oct 18:30 | Paredes | vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 25 Oct 18:00 |
Rio Ave
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 01 Nov 20:30 |
SC Braga
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Fri, 06 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 06 Nov 20:45 |
FC Famalicão
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.9% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.