SC Braga
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 535 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), SC Braga drew 105 where the draw model expected 119.1 from those particular fixtures — about 14 fewer, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 131.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 23 Feb 2013 → 14 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 18 Jan 2019 → 18 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 19 | 25 Nov 2017 → 31 Mar 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 18 | 25 Nov 2011 → 07 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 18 | 24 Sep 2010 → 14 Jan 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 16 Oct 2022 → 05 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 15 | 27 Aug 2017 → 04 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 23 Oct 2012 → 26 Jan 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 13 Dec 2014 → 14 Mar 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 04 Oct 2005 → 14 Jan 2006 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 1062 | 263 | 24.8% | 0 | 24 |
| UEFA Europa League | 169 | 36 | 21.3% | 3 | 10 |
| UEFA Champions League | 22 | 1 | 4.6% | 1 | 10 |
| Taça de Portugal | 21 | 2 | 9.5% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 0 | 2 |
| UEFA Conference League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 9 |
| 2025 | 56 | 13 | 23.2% | 9 |
| 2024 | 46 | 8 | 17.4% | 10 |
| 2023 | 51 | 8 | 15.7% | 9 |
| 2022 | 46 | 7 | 15.2% | 11 |
| 2021 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 10 |
| 2020 | 39 | 4 | 10.3% | 12 |
| 2019 | 44 | 6 | 13.6% | 19 |
| 2018 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 13 |
| 2017 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 15 |
| 2016 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 8 |
| 2015 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 11 |
| 2014 | 30 | 10 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2013 | 34 | 3 | 8.8% | 26 |
| 2012 | 35 | 3 | 8.6% | 13 |
| 2011 | 46 | 16 | 34.8% | 5 |
| 2010 | 42 | 4 | 9.5% | 16 |
| 2009 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 9 |
| 2008 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 12 |
| 2007 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2006 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 10 |
| 2005 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 11 |
| 2004 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2003 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 5 |
| 2002 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 2001 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2000 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 11 |
| 1999 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 8 |
| 1998 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 7 |
| 1997 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 10 |
| 1996 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 8 |
| 1995 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 7 |
| 1994 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 1984 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1966 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 09 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 09 Oct 19:15 |
SC Braga
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.4% |
|
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 15 Oct 19:00 |
FC København
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.4% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 22 Oct 19:00 |
SC Braga
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 21.8% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 18:00 |
CD Nacional
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 20:30 |
SC Braga
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Nov 17:45 |
AGF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 20:30 |
Rio Ave
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.9% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.