☆
· ESP · La Liga
Team ☆
all results ›
ESP · Club
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
Played
1,464
Draw %
27.7%
No-draw N
0
Max streak
26
30 Jan 2005 → 25 Sep 2005
Avg top run
14.5
top 10
Draw debt E
0.00
p50
30.0%
p100
30.0%
Draw score
0.088
rank #1,633
Draws
406
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,858
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,960
reached 19 Mar 2026
Rank
#92
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
1,464
last 11 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 537 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Celta Vigo drew 149 where the draw model expected 134.9 from those particular fixtures — about 14 more, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 136.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 26
30 Jan 2005 → 25 Sep 2005
2 17
22 Jan 2006 → 03 May 2006
3 16
24 Apr 2010 → 09 Oct 2010
4 16
24 Feb 2002 → 01 Sep 2002
5 13
05 Apr 2025 → 17 Aug 2025
6 13
26 Sep 2013 → 19 Dec 2013
7 12
18 Mar 2007 → 17 Jun 2007
8 11
19 Mar 2026 → 12 May 2026
9 11
01 Dec 2002 → 16 Feb 2003
10 10
04 Mar 2017 → 16 Apr 2017
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 30 Jan 2005 → 25 Sep 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 22 Jan 2006 → 03 May 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 24 Apr 2010 → 09 Oct 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 24 Feb 2002 → 01 Sep 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 05 Apr 2025 → 17 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 26 Sep 2013 → 19 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 18 Mar 2007 → 17 Jun 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 19 Mar 2026 → 12 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 01 Dec 2002 → 16 Feb 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 04 Mar 2017 → 16 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 1042 | 286 | 27.5% | 0 | 18 |
| Segunda División | 252 | 77 | 30.6% | 0 | 21 |
| UEFA Europa League | 79 | 18 | 22.8% | 1 | 7 |
| Copa del Rey | 68 | 17 | 25.0% | 0 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 0 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 | 3 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 11 |
| 2025 | 55 | 16 | 29.1% | 13 |
| 2024 | 44 | 8 | 18.2% | 7 |
| 2023 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 7 |
| 2022 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 9 |
| 2021 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 9 |
| 2020 | 39 | 17 | 43.6% | 6 |
| 2019 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2018 | 44 | 16 | 36.4% | 5 |
| 2017 | 54 | 10 | 18.5% | 10 |
| 2016 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 8 |
| 2015 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2014 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 7 |
| 2013 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 13 |
| 2012 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 8 |
| 2011 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 8 |
| 2010 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 16 |
| 2009 | 45 | 18 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 2008 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 6 |
| 2007 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 12 |
| 2006 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 17 |
| 2005 | 41 | 3 | 7.3% | 26 |
| 2004 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 10 |
| 2003 | 48 | 18 | 37.5% | 7 |
| 2002 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 16 |
| 2001 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 7 |
| 2000 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 10 |
| 1999 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 1998 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 5 |
| 1997 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 8 |
| 1996 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 6 |
| 1995 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 4 |
| 1994 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 10 |
| 1993 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 6 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Matches
all results ›
1,464 matches · page 1 / 37
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 15 Oct 19:00 |
Celta Vigo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.8% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 18 Oct 14:15 |
Celta Vigo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.9% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 22 Oct 19:00 |
Celtic
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 25 Oct 15:15 |
Celta Vigo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 15:15 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 05 Nov 20:00 |
Celta Vigo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 08 Nov 17:30 |
Celta Vigo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Sun, 22 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 22 Nov 20:00 |
Real Madrid
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.5% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.