Southend United
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 550 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Southend United drew 139 where the draw model expected 149.4 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 143.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 15 Feb 2003 → 16 Sep 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 19 Sep 2009 → 16 Jan 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 19 | 24 Jan 2009 → 18 Apr 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 18 | 13 Aug 2002 → 09 Nov 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 17 | 07 Jan 2023 → 07 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 11 Mar 2017 → 12 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 18 Sep 2001 → 24 Nov 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 11 Sep 2021 → 27 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 24 Nov 2018 → 02 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 11 Dec 1993 → 26 Feb 1994 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League Two | 598 | 157 | 26.3% | 0 | 23 |
| League One | 449 | 104 | 23.2% | 10 | 19 |
| FA Cup | 244 | 49 | 20.1% | 1 | 5 |
| National League | 240 | 63 | 26.3% | 1 | 17 |
| Championship | 230 | 57 | 24.8% | 7 | 12 |
| League Cup | 133 | 29 | 21.8% | 1 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 5 |
| 2025 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 7 |
| 2024 | 46 | 17 | 37.0% | 5 |
| 2023 | 48 | 7 | 14.6% | 17 |
| 2022 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 12 |
| 2021 | 46 | 15 | 32.6% | 13 |
| 2020 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 10 |
| 2019 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 11 |
| 2018 | 50 | 9 | 18.0% | 10 |
| 2017 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 14 |
| 2016 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 9 |
| 2015 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 10 |
| 2014 | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 6 |
| 2013 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 11 |
| 2012 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 6 |
| 2011 | 54 | 14 | 25.9% | 6 |
| 2010 | 45 | 17 | 37.8% | 5 |
| 2009 | 52 | 8 | 15.4% | 19 |
| 2008 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 7 |
| 2007 | 52 | 10 | 19.2% | 8 |
| 2006 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 7 |
| 2005 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 11 |
| 2004 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 11 |
| 2003 | 50 | 5 | 10.0% | 24 |
| 2002 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 18 |
| 2001 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 14 |
| 2000 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 7 |
| 1999 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 6 |
| 1998 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 1997 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 11 |
| 1996 | 51 | 17 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 1995 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 1994 | 51 | 9 | 17.7% | 11 |
| 1993 | 28 | 5 | 17.9% | 8 |
| 1992 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1988 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1987 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1986 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1985 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1984 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1982 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1981 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1980 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1979 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 3 |
| 1978 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1977 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1976 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1975 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1974 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1973 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1972 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1969 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1967 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1964 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1945 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1939 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1938 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1934 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1931 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1930 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1928 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1925 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1922 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1921 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1920 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1915 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1914 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1913 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1911 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1910 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Boston United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Southend United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:45 |
Worthing
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Wealdstone
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.7% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.