Shrewsbury Town
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 592 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Shrewsbury Town drew 150 where the draw model expected 163.1 from those particular fixtures — about 13 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 156.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 25 Aug 2015 → 24 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 07 Feb 2026 → 11 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 12 Nov 2022 → 11 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 04 Nov 2007 → 19 Jan 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 18 Apr 2023 → 23 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 16 Aug 2011 → 15 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 01 Dec 2023 → 03 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 14 Mar 2015 → 02 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 12 Oct 2024 → 14 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 02 May 1998 → 09 Sep 1998 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League Two | 786 | 220 | 28.0% | 0 | 15 |
| League One | 678 | 189 | 27.9% | 4 | 14 |
| FA Cup | 221 | 56 | 25.3% | 1 | 5 |
| League Cup | 152 | 39 | 25.7% | 1 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 15 |
| 2025 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 6 |
| 2024 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 10 |
| 2023 | 52 | 6 | 11.5% | 14 |
| 2022 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 9 |
| 2021 | 55 | 12 | 21.8% | 7 |
| 2020 | 39 | 15 | 38.5% | 6 |
| 2019 | 51 | 19 | 37.3% | 5 |
| 2018 | 53 | 17 | 32.1% | 6 |
| 2017 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 8 |
| 2016 | 55 | 13 | 23.6% | 8 |
| 2015 | 54 | 11 | 20.4% | 16 |
| 2014 | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 9 |
| 2013 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 8 |
| 2012 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 9 |
| 2011 | 55 | 12 | 21.8% | 13 |
| 2010 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 8 |
| 2009 | 49 | 20 | 40.8% | 7 |
| 2008 | 48 | 17 | 35.4% | 6 |
| 2007 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 11 |
| 2006 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 7 |
| 2005 | 50 | 18 | 36.0% | 4 |
| 2004 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% | 7 |
| 2003 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 8 |
| 2002 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 9 |
| 2001 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 9 |
| 2000 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 9 |
| 1999 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 7 |
| 1998 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 10 |
| 1997 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 6 |
| 1996 | 56 | 21 | 37.5% | 7 |
| 1995 | 54 | 18 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 1994 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 9 |
| 1993 | 29 | 10 | 34.5% | 7 |
| 1992 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1990 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1989 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1988 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1986 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1985 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1983 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1981 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1979 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1977 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1976 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1975 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1974 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1972 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1970 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1968 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 1 |
| 1967 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 5 |
| 1964 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1961 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 4 |
| 1960 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1910 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1887 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 14:00 |
Grimsby Town
|
vs |
|
1.68 3.85 4.56 | 21.9% |
|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Shrewsbury Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.4% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 11:30 |
Shrewsbury Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.3% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
Crawley Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Rotherham United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Shrewsbury Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.9% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.