Rochdale
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 578 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Rochdale drew 144 where the draw model expected 154.3 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 151.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 01 Jan 2008 → 08 Apr 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 26 Apr 2025 → 18 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 08 Nov 2025 → 11 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 12 Nov 2016 → 28 Jan 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 18 Oct 2003 → 10 Jan 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 10 Feb 2015 → 06 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 07 Sep 2013 → 26 Nov 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 08 Nov 1997 → 24 Jan 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 19 Oct 2024 → 04 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 09 Apr 2022 → 23 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League Two | 967 | 280 | 29.0% | 3 | 21 |
| League One | 402 | 105 | 26.1% | 2 | 20 |
| FA Cup | 223 | 56 | 25.1% | 1 | 5 |
| League Cup | 140 | 27 | 19.3% | 1 | 8 |
| National League | 138 | 32 | 23.2% | 0 | 16 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 7 |
| 2025 | 46 | 9 | 19.6% | 16 |
| 2024 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 10 |
| 2023 | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 6 |
| 2022 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 13 |
| 2021 | 55 | 20 | 36.4% | 5 |
| 2020 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 6 |
| 2019 | 51 | 10 | 19.6% | 8 |
| 2018 | 56 | 16 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2017 | 52 | 19 | 36.5% | 6 |
| 2016 | 54 | 10 | 18.5% | 10 |
| 2015 | 54 | 10 | 18.5% | 14 |
| 2014 | 53 | 11 | 20.8% | 9 |
| 2013 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 14 |
| 2012 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 10 |
| 2011 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 10 |
| 2010 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2009 | 51 | 9 | 17.7% | 9 |
| 2008 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 21 |
| 2007 | 44 | 16 | 36.4% | 5 |
| 2006 | 50 | 19 | 38.0% | 5 |
| 2005 | 49 | 16 | 32.7% | 8 |
| 2004 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 9 |
| 2003 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 13 |
| 2002 | 50 | 18 | 36.0% | 5 |
| 2001 | 53 | 18 | 34.0% | 6 |
| 2000 | 48 | 18 | 37.5% | 6 |
| 1999 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 8 |
| 1998 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 1997 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 10 |
| 1996 | 53 | 16 | 30.2% | 7 |
| 1995 | 46 | 16 | 34.8% | 7 |
| 1994 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 10 |
| 1993 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 9 |
| 1992 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1990 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 1989 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1988 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1985 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1983 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1981 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1977 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1976 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1974 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1972 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1970 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1964 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1962 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 1961 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1960 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1959 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1945 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1921 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1920 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1915 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1913 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Tranmere Rovers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Crewe Alexandra
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.9% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
Rochdale
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Rochdale
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 12:30 |
Port Vale
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.