Red Star
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 202 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Red Star drew 55 where the draw model expected 60.7 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 61.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 19 Feb 2016 → 22 Jul 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 24 Feb 2017 → 28 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 27 Feb 1999 → 07 May 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 15 Aug 2025 → 29 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 06 Dec 1997 → 11 Feb 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 24 Aug 2018 → 05 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 22 Aug 1998 → 23 Sep 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 14 Feb 2025 → 14 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 25 Oct 2024 → 22 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 16 Aug 2024 → 20 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 2 | 310 | 96 | 31.0% | 4 | 12 |
| Coupe de France | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 4 |
| 2025 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 7 |
| 2024 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 5 |
| 2021 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2018 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 6 |
| 2017 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 9 |
| 2016 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 13 |
| 2015 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 5 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 9 |
| 1998 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 1997 | 44 | 17 | 38.6% | 5 |
| 1996 | 23 | 9 | 39.1% | 3 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 12:00 |
Clermont Foot
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.6% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 18:00 |
Red Star
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.9% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 12:00 |
Montpellier HSC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Mon, 02 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Nov 19:45 |
Red Star
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Fri, 06 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 06 Nov 19:00 |
Dijon FCO
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 31.7% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.