Raith Rovers
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 486 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Raith Rovers drew 126 where the draw model expected 120.4 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 118.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 03 Apr 2007 → 01 Dec 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 15 Jul 2015 → 07 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 26 Dec 2007 → 05 Apr 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 22 Mar 2014 → 20 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 20 Feb 2015 → 25 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 30 Aug 2003 → 29 Nov 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 05 Aug 1995 → 21 Oct 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 24 Jul 2022 → 19 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 13 Jul 2019 → 28 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 20 Oct 2018 → 05 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish Championship | 791 | 210 | 26.6% | 1 | 14 |
| Scottish League One | 280 | 70 | 25.0% | 1 | 19 |
| Scottish League Cup | 76 | 15 | 19.7% | 1 | 4 |
| Scottish Premiership | 72 | 14 | 19.4% | 0 | 9 |
| Scottish Cup | 60 | 9 | 15.0% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 7 | 24.1% | 11 |
| 2025 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 8 |
| 2024 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 7 |
| 2023 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 7 |
| 2022 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 12 |
| 2021 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 7 |
| 2020 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 4 |
| 2019 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 12 |
| 2018 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 11 |
| 2017 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 10 |
| 2016 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 5 |
| 2015 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 17 |
| 2014 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 16 |
| 2013 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 9 |
| 2012 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 6 |
| 2011 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 9 |
| 2010 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2009 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 10 |
| 2008 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 15 |
| 2007 | 39 | 4 | 10.3% | 22 |
| 2006 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 5 |
| 2005 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 10 |
| 2004 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 7 |
| 2003 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 13 |
| 2002 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 5 |
| 2001 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 7 |
| 2000 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 7 |
| 1999 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 7 |
| 1998 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 6 |
| 1997 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 11 |
| 1996 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 9 |
| 1995 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 13 |
| 1994 | 18 | 8 | 44.4% | 5 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 14:00 |
Greenock Morton
|
vs |
|
5.24 3.71 1.56 | 28.7% |
|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Raith Rovers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Stenhousemuir
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Raith Rovers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.1% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Arbroath
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Fri, 06 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 06 Nov 19:30 |
Raith Rovers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.