Portsmouth
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 580 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Portsmouth drew 150 where the draw model expected 158.3 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 154.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 03 Sep 2017 → 01 Jan 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 02 May 2009 → 17 Oct 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 04 Jan 2020 → 07 Mar 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 17 Nov 2001 → 30 Jan 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 29 Jan 2000 → 08 Apr 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 13 Dec 2024 → 28 Jan 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 20 Sep 2003 → 02 Dec 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 17 Aug 2002 → 05 Oct 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 09 Mar 1997 → 04 May 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 26 Dec 1996 → 22 Feb 1997 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | 651 | 178 | 27.3% | 0 | 13 |
| League One | 357 | 94 | 26.3% | 3 | 22 |
| FA Cup | 294 | 66 | 22.5% | 1 | 6 |
| Premier League | 266 | 65 | 24.4% | 2 | 13 |
| League Two | 184 | 56 | 30.4% | 4 | 10 |
| League Cup | 180 | 32 | 17.8% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 0 | 2 |
| UEFA Europa League | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| FA Community Shield | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 7 |
| 2025 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 11 |
| 2024 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 5 |
| 2023 | 53 | 18 | 34.0% | 7 |
| 2022 | 49 | 17 | 34.7% | 8 |
| 2021 | 53 | 10 | 18.9% | 9 |
| 2020 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 14 |
| 2019 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 9 |
| 2018 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 10 |
| 2017 | 50 | 5 | 10.0% | 22 |
| 2016 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 10 |
| 2015 | 51 | 19 | 37.3% | 5 |
| 2014 | 50 | 17 | 34.0% | 9 |
| 2013 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 7 |
| 2012 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2011 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 9 |
| 2010 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 9 |
| 2009 | 45 | 9 | 20.0% | 16 |
| 2008 | 52 | 10 | 19.2% | 11 |
| 2007 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2006 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 11 |
| 2005 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 10 |
| 2004 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 9 |
| 2003 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 12 |
| 2002 | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 12 |
| 2001 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 9 |
| 2000 | 50 | 17 | 34.0% | 13 |
| 1999 | 52 | 16 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 1998 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 7 |
| 1997 | 50 | 8 | 16.0% | 12 |
| 1996 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 8 |
| 1995 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 6 |
| 1994 | 56 | 14 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 1993 | 30 | 12 | 40.0% | 6 |
| 1992 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 3 |
| 1990 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1988 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1987 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1985 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1984 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1983 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 4 |
| 1979 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1978 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1977 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 1976 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 |
| 1975 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1973 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1969 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1966 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1965 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1962 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1960 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 1 |
| 1953 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1948 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1939 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1938 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1928 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1926 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1925 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1924 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1923 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1922 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1921 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1920 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1915 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1914 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1913 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1912 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1911 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1910 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1909 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1908 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1907 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1906 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1905 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1904 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1903 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1902 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1900 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 11:00 |
Southampton
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.9% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 18:45 |
Portsmouth
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.5% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Norwich City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 11:30 |
Portsmouth
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.4% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Burnley
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Tue, 03 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Nov 19:45 |
Portsmouth
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.5% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 12:30 |
Portsmouth
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.