What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 24 Sep 2006 → 30 Nov 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 22 Apr 2006 → 20 Sep 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 01 Dec 2024 → 31 Jan 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 07 Feb 2021 → 07 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 30 Jan 2011 → 03 Apr 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 30 Nov 2008 → 08 Feb 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 22 Apr 2007 → 09 Sep 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 29 Nov 2015 → 24 Jan 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 04 Nov 2010 → 11 Dec 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 23 Aug 2008 → 26 Oct 2008 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 456 | 127 | 27.9% | 3 | 17 |
| Serie B | 404 | 136 | 33.7% | 1 | 10 |
| Serie C | 72 | 23 | 31.9% | 4 | 10 |
| Coppa Italia | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 2 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 0 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 8 |
| 2025 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 8 |
| 2024 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2023 | 39 | 16 | 41.0% | 7 |
| 2022 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 7 |
| 2021 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 10 |
| 2020 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 2019 | 18 | 8 | 44.4% | 3 |
| 2018 | 41 | 16 | 39.0% | 5 |
| 2017 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 5 |
| 2016 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 7 |
| 2015 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 7 |
| 2014 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 6 |
| 2013 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 7 |
| 2012 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 7 |
| 2011 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 10 |
| 2010 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 9 |
| 2009 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 6 |
| 2008 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 9 |
| 2007 | 40 | 16 | 40.0% | 10 |
| 2006 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 12 |
| 2005 | 49 | 20 | 40.8% | 4 |
| 2004 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2003 | 42 | 18 | 42.9% | 6 |
| 2002 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2001 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 7 |
Over 430 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), Palermo drew 135 where the draw model expected 124.9 from those particular fixtures — about 10 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 129.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.