☆
· ITA · Serie B
Team ☆
all results ›
ITA · Club
Ascoli Calcio
Ascoli Calcio
Played
922
Draw %
29.2%
No-draw N
0
Max streak
16
15 Feb 2026 → 23 Aug 2026
Avg top run
11.1
top 10
Draw debt E
0.00
p50
24.0%
p100
30.0%
Draw score
0.084
rank #1,662
Draws
269
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,475
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,647
reached 12 Mar 2006
Rank
#10,969
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
922
last 10 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 449 matches (Aug 2015 – Oct 2026), Ascoli Calcio drew 129 where the draw model expected 137.5 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 141.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 16
15 Feb 2026 → 23 Aug 2026
2 14
01 May 2019 → 25 Oct 2019
3 11
28 Dec 2017 → 17 Mar 2018
4 11
15 Sep 2012 → 10 Nov 2012
5 10
14 May 2017 → 24 Sep 2017
6 10
19 Mar 2013 → 04 May 2013
7 10
09 Oct 2011 → 03 Dec 2011
8 10
06 Dec 2008 → 17 Feb 2009
9 10
19 Apr 2008 → 30 Aug 2008
10 9
24 Jan 2025 → 15 Mar 2025
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 15 Feb 2026 → 23 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 01 May 2019 → 25 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 28 Dec 2017 → 17 Mar 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 15 Sep 2012 → 10 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 14 May 2017 → 24 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 19 Mar 2013 → 04 May 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 09 Oct 2011 → 03 Dec 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 06 Dec 2008 → 17 Feb 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 19 Apr 2008 → 30 Aug 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 24 Jan 2025 → 15 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 736 | 214 | 29.1% | 0 | 12 |
| Serie A | 76 | 28 | 36.8% | 4 | 8 |
| Serie C | 74 | 21 | 28.4% | 11 | 11 |
| Coppa Italia | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28 | 3 | 10.7% | 16 |
| 2025 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 9 |
| 2024 | 39 | 16 | 41.0% | 5 |
| 2023 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 2022 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 7 |
| 2021 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 9 |
| 2020 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 6 |
| 2019 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 14 |
| 2018 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 10 |
| 2017 | 44 | 18 | 40.9% | 10 |
| 2016 | 43 | 16 | 37.2% | 6 |
| 2015 | 22 | 2 | 9.1% | 9 |
| 2013 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 10 |
| 2012 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 11 |
| 2011 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2010 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 6 |
| 2009 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2008 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 10 |
| 2007 | 42 | 16 | 38.1% | 8 |
| 2006 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 5 |
| 2005 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 6 |
| 2004 | 44 | 16 | 36.4% | 5 |
| 2003 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 9 |
| 2002 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 4 |
Matches
all results ›
922 matches · page 1 / 24
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 13:00 |
Ascoli Calcio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 15:15 |
US Catanzaro
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 27 Oct 19:00 |
Ascoli Calcio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.0% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 01 Nov 14:00 |
SS Arezzo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.7% |
|
| Fri, 06 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 06 Nov 19:30 |
Ascoli Calcio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 14:00 |
Ascoli Calcio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.