Calcio Padova
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 332 matches (Jul 2016 – Sep 2026), Calcio Padova drew 99 where the draw model expected 102.2 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 100.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 06 Nov 1994 → 23 Apr 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 07 Jan 1996 → 12 May 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 07 Mar 2026 → 01 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 03 Mar 2021 → 02 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 21 Oct 2020 → 06 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 07 Nov 2009 → 09 Jan 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 27 Feb 2022 → 10 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 17 Apr 2014 → 30 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 24 Sep 2011 → 01 Nov 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 26 Apr 1998 → 14 Jun 1998 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 327 | 108 | 33.0% | 3 | 11 |
| Serie C | 238 | 68 | 28.6% | 0 | 17 |
| Serie A | 68 | 7 | 10.3% | 19 | 20 |
| Coppa Italia | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28 | 5 | 17.9% | 11 |
| 2025 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2024 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2023 | 37 | 15 | 40.5% | 6 |
| 2022 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 8 |
| 2021 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 11 |
| 2020 | 27 | 5 | 18.5% | 10 |
| 2019 | 26 | 11 | 42.3% | 4 |
| 2018 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 6 |
| 2017 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2016 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2014 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 8 |
| 2013 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 7 |
| 2012 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 6 |
| 2011 | 45 | 16 | 35.6% | 8 |
| 2010 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 6 |
| 2009 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 7 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 8 |
| 1997 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 7 |
| 1996 | 19 | 0 | 0.0% | 19 |
| 1995 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 14 |
| 1994 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 6 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 15:15 |
Calcio Padova
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.3% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 13:00 |
Calcio Padova
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.1% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 13:00 |
US Avellino
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.1% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:00 |
Calcio Padova
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.5% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 16:15 |
US Catanzaro
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 14:00 |
Calcio Padova
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.