What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 06 Nov 1994 → 23 Apr 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 07 Jan 1996 → 12 May 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 07 Mar 2026 → 01 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 03 Mar 2021 → 02 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 21 Oct 2020 → 06 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 07 Nov 2009 → 09 Jan 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 27 Feb 2022 → 10 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 17 Apr 2014 → 30 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 24 Sep 2011 → 01 Nov 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 26 Apr 1998 → 14 Jun 1998 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 332 | 109 | 32.8% | 0 | 11 |
| Serie C | 238 | 68 | 28.6% | 0 | 17 |
| Serie A | 68 | 7 | 10.3% | 19 | 20 |
| Coppa Italia | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 11 |
| 2025 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2024 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2023 | 37 | 15 | 40.5% | 6 |
| 2022 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 8 |
| 2021 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 11 |
| 2020 | 27 | 5 | 18.5% | 10 |
| 2019 | 26 | 11 | 42.3% | 4 |
| 2018 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 6 |
| 2017 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2016 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2014 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 8 |
| 2013 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 7 |
| 2012 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 6 |
| 2011 | 45 | 16 | 35.6% | 8 |
| 2010 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 6 |
| 2009 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 7 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 8 |
| 1997 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 7 |
| 1996 | 19 | 0 | 0.0% | 19 |
| 1995 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 14 |
| 1994 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 6 |
Over 337 matches (Jul 2016 – Oct 2026), Calcio Padova drew 100 where the draw model expected 103.8 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 102.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.