Norwich City
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 5 Oct 2026.
Over 583 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Norwich City drew 129 where the draw model expected 152.0 from those particular fixtures — about 23 fewer, or 2.2 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 154.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 26 Dec 2025 → 21 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 19 Dec 2009 → 13 Mar 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 09 Nov 1994 → 14 Jan 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 19 Mar 2016 → 06 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 07 Mar 2004 → 09 May 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 15 Feb 2003 → 12 Apr 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 08 Mar 2008 → 12 Aug 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 08 Aug 2026 → 20 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 16 Aug 2023 → 04 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 27 Apr 2019 → 05 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | 1066 | 270 | 25.3% | 9 | 17 |
| Premier League | 350 | 96 | 27.4% | 1 | 13 |
| FA Cup | 275 | 65 | 23.6% | 3 | 5 |
| League Cup | 232 | 45 | 19.4% | 3 | 8 |
| League One | 46 | 8 | 17.4% | 5 | 15 |
| Club Friendlies | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 0 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 42 | 5 | 11.9% | 18 |
| 2025 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 8 |
| 2024 | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 7 |
| 2023 | 50 | 9 | 18.0% | 11 |
| 2022 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 7 |
| 2021 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 10 |
| 2020 | 45 | 9 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2019 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 11 |
| 2018 | 52 | 16 | 30.8% | 8 |
| 2017 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 7 |
| 2016 | 51 | 7 | 13.7% | 13 |
| 2015 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 8 |
| 2014 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 7 |
| 2013 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 9 |
| 2012 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 7 |
| 2011 | 44 | 16 | 36.4% | 7 |
| 2010 | 48 | 8 | 16.7% | 13 |
| 2009 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2008 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 12 |
| 2007 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 11 |
| 2006 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 11 |
| 2005 | 49 | 8 | 16.3% | 11 |
| 2004 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 13 |
| 2003 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 13 |
| 2002 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 9 |
| 2001 | 50 | 8 | 16.0% | 8 |
| 2000 | 52 | 17 | 32.7% | 10 |
| 1999 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 7 |
| 1998 | 52 | 17 | 32.7% | 5 |
| 1997 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 7 |
| 1996 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 5 |
| 1995 | 56 | 19 | 33.9% | 9 |
| 1994 | 50 | 17 | 34.0% | 10 |
| 1993 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 5 |
| 1992 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 1991 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1990 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1989 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 3 |
| 1988 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1986 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1985 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 5 |
| 1984 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 2 |
| 1983 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 3 |
| 1981 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 1 |
| 1979 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1978 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1975 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1974 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 2 |
| 1973 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1972 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1971 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1970 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1967 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1966 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1962 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 7 |
| 1961 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1960 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1950 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1948 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1946 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1939 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1936 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1928 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1925 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1924 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1923 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1922 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1921 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1915 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1914 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1913 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1912 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1911 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1910 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1909 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1908 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1907 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1906 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 11:30 |
Swansea City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.8% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 18:45 |
Norwich City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Norwich City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 11:30 |
Charlton Athletic
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.7% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 12:30 |
Norwich City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Tue, 03 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Nov 19:45 |
Derby County
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 12:30 |
Bristol City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.