KV Mechelen
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 396 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), KV Mechelen drew 99 where the draw model expected 95.0 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 94.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 11 Apr 2009 → 04 Dec 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 22 Feb 2014 → 27 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 08 Dec 2012 → 04 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 12 Dec 2021 → 20 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 18 Aug 2012 → 03 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 15 Dec 2019 → 28 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 17 Aug 2024 → 26 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 17 Feb 2024 → 20 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 13 Dec 2020 → 26 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 17 Oct 2015 → 05 Dec 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgian Pro League | 762 | 187 | 24.5% | 0 | 22 |
| Belgian Cup | 130 | 22 | 16.9% | 2 | 6 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 3 | 7 |
| UEFA Europa League | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 1 | 2 |
| UEFA Champions League | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 0 | 1 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 7 |
| 2025 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 6 |
| 2024 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 9 |
| 2023 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 7 |
| 2022 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 7 |
| 2021 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 8 |
| 2020 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 8 |
| 2019 | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 7 |
| 2018 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 4 |
| 2017 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2016 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 7 |
| 2015 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 2014 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 14 |
| 2013 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 2012 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 11 |
| 2011 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 2010 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2009 | 44 | 6 | 13.6% | 25 |
| 2008 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2007 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 2006 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2003 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 7 |
| 2002 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 4 |
| 2001 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 3 |
| 2000 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 7 |
| 1999 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 9 |
| 1998 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 7 |
| 1996 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 9 |
| 1995 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1993 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1992 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1990 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 1987 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1983 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1980 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1969 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1914 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1913 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1912 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 17:15 |
KV Mechelen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
| Fri, 23 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 23 Oct 18:45 |
KV Kortrijk
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.3% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
KV Mechelen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 17:15 |
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.