Lommel SK
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 283 matches (Aug 1964 – Sep 2026), Lommel SK drew 73 where the draw model expected 64.1 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 65.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 16 Aug 1997 → 09 Nov 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 28 Jan 1996 → 13 Apr 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 19 Dec 1998 → 20 Mar 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 08 Dec 2001 → 16 Feb 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 10 Oct 1998 → 28 Nov 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 16 Nov 2002 → 16 Aug 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 02 Mar 2002 → 13 Apr 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 27 May 2001 → 23 Sep 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 22 Aug 1998 → 23 Sep 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 06 Feb 2000 → 19 Mar 2000 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgian Pro League | 211 | 56 | 26.5% | 0 | 11 |
| Belgian Cup | 66 | 16 | 24.2% | 1 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2021 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2002 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 7 |
| 2001 | 22 | 8 | 36.4% | 7 |
| 2000 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 6 |
| 1999 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 9 |
| 1998 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 8 |
| 1997 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 11 |
| 1996 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 11 |
| 1995 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1981 | 3 | 3 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1980 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1970 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1969 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1966 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 09 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 09 Oct 18:45 |
Waasland-Beveren
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.4% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 16:15 |
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.4% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 17:30 |
Lommel SK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.9% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 19:45 |
Royal Antwerp
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.