Lille OSC
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 523 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Lille OSC drew 125 where the draw model expected 136.1 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 138.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 19 Oct 2025 → 01 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 22 Nov 2019 → 08 Mar 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 18 | 16 Dec 1998 → 07 Aug 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 21 Feb 2015 → 07 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 10 Mar 2012 → 11 Aug 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 01 Apr 2017 → 20 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 20 Oct 2009 → 06 Dec 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 28 Aug 2004 → 16 Oct 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 21 Aug 2022 → 30 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 09 Sep 2016 → 18 Nov 2016 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 | 1115 | 329 | 29.5% | 3 | 15 |
| Ligue 2 | 118 | 29 | 24.6% | 1 | 18 |
| UEFA Europa League | 70 | 19 | 27.1% | 12 | 12 |
| UEFA Champions League | 61 | 17 | 27.9% | 1 | 6 |
| Coupe de France | 57 | 9 | 15.8% | 2 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 0 | 4 |
| UEFA Conference League | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 2 | 3 |
| Trophée des Champions | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 6 |
| 2025 | 55 | 8 | 14.5% | 20 |
| 2024 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 9 |
| 2023 | 49 | 19 | 38.8% | 4 |
| 2022 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 11 |
| 2021 | 54 | 14 | 25.9% | 8 |
| 2020 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 12 |
| 2019 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 10 |
| 2018 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 10 |
| 2017 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 12 |
| 2016 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 11 |
| 2015 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 14 |
| 2014 | 47 | 18 | 38.3% | 4 |
| 2013 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 9 |
| 2012 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 13 |
| 2011 | 51 | 19 | 37.3% | 5 |
| 2010 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 6 |
| 2009 | 54 | 12 | 22.2% | 12 |
| 2008 | 42 | 17 | 40.5% | 5 |
| 2007 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 9 |
| 2006 | 46 | 18 | 39.1% | 6 |
| 2005 | 48 | 17 | 35.4% | 9 |
| 2004 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 12 |
| 2003 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 7 |
| 2002 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2001 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 6 |
| 2000 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 1999 | 37 | 3 | 8.1% | 17 |
| 1998 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 9 |
| 1997 | 40 | 15 | 37.5% | 10 |
| 1996 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 10 |
| 1995 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 6 |
| 1994 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 7 |
| 1993 | 22 | 10 | 45.5% | 5 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 02 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Oct 12:00 |
Lille OSC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 15:15 |
Lille OSC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Tue, 13 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 13 Oct 19:00 |
Arsenal
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.4% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 18:45 |
Lille OSC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Wed, 21 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 21 Oct 16:45 |
Lille OSC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 14:00 |
AS Monaco
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Fri, 30 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 30 Oct 20:05 |
Lille OSC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Tue, 03 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Nov 20:00 |
FK Bodø/Glimt
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.3% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 14:00 |
Stade Rennais
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.