KV Kortrijk
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 377 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), KV Kortrijk drew 79 where the draw model expected 89.4 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 90.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 23 Aug 2014 → 17 Jan 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 27 Nov 2016 → 25 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 30 Jan 2022 → 31 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 12 Feb 2021 → 21 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 17 Aug 2013 → 09 Nov 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 04 Nov 2017 → 23 Jan 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 26 Dec 2018 → 26 Jul 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 04 Jul 2026 → 20 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 14 Apr 2024 → 25 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 06 Nov 2022 → 21 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgian Pro League | 577 | 129 | 22.4% | 8 | 18 |
| Belgian Cup | 149 | 30 | 20.1% | 2 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 2025 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 2024 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 10 |
| 2023 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 6 |
| 2022 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 13 |
| 2021 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 13 |
| 2020 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% | 5 |
| 2019 | 33 | 4 | 12.1% | 10 |
| 2018 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 9 |
| 2017 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 10 |
| 2016 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 8 |
| 2015 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 7 |
| 2014 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 19 |
| 2013 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 13 |
| 2012 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 2011 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 8 |
| 2010 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 10 |
| 2009 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 6 |
| 2008 | 21 | 9 | 42.9% | 5 |
| 2007 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2006 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2001 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1999 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 5 |
| 1998 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 1997 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1979 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1974 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1971 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1968 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 18:45 |
KRC Genk
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 14.2% |
|
| Fri, 23 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 23 Oct 18:45 |
KV Kortrijk
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.3% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 17:15 |
Standard Liège
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 15:00 |
KAA Gent
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.7% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.